Operational medium range flood forecasting systems are increasingly moving towards the
adoption of ensembles of numerical weather predictions (NWP), known as ensemble …

Research and development of new verification strategies and reassessment of traditional
forecast verification methods has received a great deal of attention from the scientific …

Calibrated Ensemble Forecasts Using Quantile Regression Forests and Ensemble Model
Output Statistics in: Monthly Weather Review Volume 144 Issue 6 (2016) Jump to Content …

对21 世纪以来定量降水预报技术流程中的数值模式预报, 统计后处理, 检验评估和预报员作用4
个方面的研究工作进行了归纳, 主要进展包括: 业务全球模式对于降水的预报能力持续提升 …

Weather regime forecasts are a prominent use case of sub‐seasonal prediction in the
midlatitudes. A systematic evaluation and understanding of year‐round sub‐seasonal …

Meteorological centres make sustained efforts to provide seasonal forecasts that are
increasingly skilful, which has the potential to benefit streamflow forecasting. Seasonal …

The continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) is a much used measure of performance
for probabilistic forecasts of a scalar observation. It is a quadratic measure of the difference …

Skilful hydrological forecasts at sub-seasonal to seasonal lead times would be extremely
beneficial for decision-making in water resources management, hydropower operations, and …

Numerical weather prediction has seen, in the past 25 years, a shift from a 'deterministic'
approach, based on single numerical integrations, to a probabilistic one, with ensembles of …

Accurate prediction of dynamical systems in unstructured meshes has recently shown
successes in scientific simulations. Many dynamical systems have a nonnegligible level of …