Globally networked risks and how to respond

D Helbing - Nature, 2013 - nature.com
Today's strongly connected, global networks have produced highly interdependent systems
that we do not understand and cannot control well. These systems are vulnerable to failure …

Saving human lives: What complexity science and information systems can contribute

D Helbing, D Brockmann, T Chadefaux… - Journal of statistical …, 2015 - Springer
We discuss models and data of crowd disasters, crime, terrorism, war and disease
spreading to show that conventional recipes, such as deterrence strategies, are often not …

Critical truths about power laws

MPH Stumpf, MA Porter - Science, 2012 - science.org
The ability to summarize observations using explanatory and predictive theories is the
greatest strength of modern science. A theoretical framework is perceived as particularly …

Conservation in a wicked complex world; challenges and solutions

ET Game, E Meijaard, D Sheil… - Conservation …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Most conservation challenges are complex and possess all the characteristics of so called
“wicked” problems. Despite widespread recognition of this complexity conservationists …

Modeling armed conflicts

M Kress - Science, 2012 - science.org
Armed conflicts have been prevalent throughout history, in some cases having very great
consequences. To win, one needs to understand the characteristics of an armed conflict and …

Formation of raiding parties for intergroup violence is mediated by social network structure

L Glowacki, A Isakov, RW Wrangham… - Proceedings of the …, 2016 - National Acad Sciences
Intergroup violence is common among humans worldwide. To assess how within-group
social dynamics contribute to risky, between-group conflict, we conducted a 3-y longitudinal …

Global civil unrest: contagion, self-organization, and prediction

D Braha - PloS one, 2012 - journals.plos.org
Civil unrest is a powerful form of collective human dynamics, which has led to major
transitions of societies in modern history. The study of collective human dynamics, including …

New online ecology of adversarial aggregates: ISIS and beyond

NF Johnson, M Zheng, Y Vorobyeva, A Gabriel, H Qi… - Science, 2016 - science.org
Support for an extremist entity such as Islamic State (ISIS) somehow manages to survive
globally online despite considerable external pressure and may ultimately inspire acts by …

Quantifying the dynamics of failure across science, startups and security

Y Yin, Y Wang, JA Evans, D Wang - Nature, 2019 - nature.com
Human achievements are often preceded by repeated attempts that fail, but little is known
about the mechanisms that govern the dynamics of failure. Here, building on previous …

The developmental dynamics of terrorist organizations

A Clauset, KS Gleditsch - PloS one, 2012 - journals.plos.org
We identify robust statistical patterns in the frequency and severity of violent attacks by
terrorist organizations as they grow and age. Using group-level static and dynamic analyses …