Salience

P Bordalo, N Gennaioli, A Shleifer - Annual Review of …, 2022 - annualreviews.org
We review the fast-growing work on salience and economic behavior. Psychological
research shows that salient stimuli attract human attention bottom up due to their high …

Errors in probabilistic reasoning and judgment biases

DJ Benjamin - Handbook of Behavioral Economics: Applications and …, 2019 - Elsevier
Errors in probabilistic reasoning have been the focus of much psychology research and are
among the original topics of modern behavioral economics. This chapter reviews theory and …

Memory, attention, and choice

P Bordalo, N Gennaioli, A Shleifer - The Quarterly journal of …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Building on a textbook description of associative memory, we present a model of choice in
which a choice option cues recall of similar past experiences. Memory shapes valuation and …

Decision making under the gambler's fallacy: Evidence from asylum judges, loan officers, and baseball umpires

DL Chen, TJ Moskowitz, K Shue - The Quarterly Journal of …, 2016 - academic.oup.com
We find consistent evidence of negative autocorrelation in decision making that is unrelated
to the merits of the cases considered in three separate high-stakes field settings: refugee …

Prevalence-induced concept change in human judgment

DE Levari, DT Gilbert, TD Wilson, B Sievers… - Science, 2018 - science.org
Why do some social problems seem so intractable? In a series of experiments, we show that
people often respond to decreases in the prevalence of a stimulus by expanding their …

Trust in state and nonstate actors: Evidence from dispute resolution in Pakistan

D Acemoglu, A Cheema, AI Khwaja… - Journal of Political …, 2020 - journals.uchicago.edu
This paper investigates whether information about improved public services can help build
trust in state institutions and move people away from nonstate actors. We find that (truthful) …

A tough act to follow: Contrast effects in financial markets

SM Hartzmark, K Shue - The Journal of Finance, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
ABSTRACT A contrast effect occurs when the value of a previously observed signal
inversely biases perception of the next signal. We present the first evidence that contrast …

The welfare effects of misperceived product costs: Data and calibrations from the automobile market

H Allcott - American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 2013 - aeaweb.org
This analysis exploits new data from the Vehicle Ownership and Alternatives Survey, which
elicits beliefs over the financial benefits of owning higher fuel economy vehicles. The data …

Seeing what is representative

I Esponda, R Oprea, S Yuksel - The Quarterly Journal of …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
We provide evidence for a bias that we call “representative signal distortion”(RSD), which is
particularly relevant to settings of statistical discrimination. Experimental subjects distort their …

The sequence effect in panel decisions: Evidence from the evaluation of research and development projects

P Criscuolo, L Dahlander, T Grohsjean… - Organization …, 2021 - pubsonline.informs.org
We examine how groups fall prey to the sequence effect when they make choices based on
informed assessments of complex situations, for example, when evaluating research and …