Modernizing the Bradford Hill criteria for assessing causal relationships in observational data

LA Cox Jr - Critical reviews in toxicology, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
Perhaps no other topic in risk analysis is more difficult, more controversial, or more important
to risk management policy analysts and decision-makers than how to draw valid, correctly …

Combination of transferable classification with multisource domain adaptation based on evidential reasoning

ZG Liu, LQ Huang, K Zhou… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2020 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
In applications of domain adaptation, there may exist multiple source domains, which can
provide more or less complementary knowledge for pattern classification in the target …

Causally explainable decision recommendations using causal artificial intelligence

LA Cox Jr - AI-ML for Decision and Risk Analysis: Challenges and …, 2023 - Springer
For an AI agent to make trustworthy decision recommendations under uncertainty on behalf
of human principals, it should be able to explain why its recommended decisions make …

Stochastic planning with lifted symbolic trajectory optimization

H Cui, T Keller, R Khardon - Proceedings of the International …, 2019 - ojs.aaai.org
This paper investigates online stochastic planning for problems with large factored state and
action spaces. One promising approach in recent work estimates the quality of applicable …

An integrated approach to solving influence diagrams and finite-horizon partially observable decision processes

EA Hansen - Artificial Intelligence, 2021 - Elsevier
We show how to integrate a variable elimination approach to solving influence diagrams
with a value iteration approach to solving finite-horizon partially observable Markov decision …

Information structures for causally explainable decisions

LA Cox Jr - Entropy, 2021 - mdpi.com
For an AI agent to make trustworthy decision recommendations under uncertainty on behalf
of human principals, it should be able to explain why its recommended decisions make …

A weighted mini-bucket bound for solving influence diagram

J Lee, R Marinescu, A Ihler… - Uncertainty in Artificial …, 2020 - proceedings.mlr.press
Influence diagrams provide a modeling and inference framework for sequential decision
problems, representing the probabilistic knowledge by a Bayesian network and the …

And/or search for marginal map

R Marinescu, J Lee, R Dechter, A Ihler - Journal of Artificial Intelligence …, 2018 - jair.org
Mixed inference such as the marginal MAP query (some variables marginalized by
summation and others by maximization) is key to many prediction and decision models. It is …

UUV Autonomous Decision‐Making Method Based on Dynamic Influence Diagram

H Yao, H Wang, Y Wang - Complexity, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Considering the complexity and uncertainty of decision‐making in the operating
environment of an unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV), this study proposes an …

Two reformulation approaches to maximum-a-posteriori inference in sum-product networks

DD Mauá, HR Reis, GP Katague… - International …, 2020 - proceedings.mlr.press
Sum-product networks are expressive efficient probabilistic graphical models that allow for
tractable marginal inference. Many tasks however require the computation of maximum-a …