Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards

B Merz, C Kuhlicke, M Kunz, M Pittore… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties,
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …

Towards scientific forecasting of magmatic eruptions

V Acocella, M Ripepe, E Rivalta, A Peltier… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2024 - nature.com
Forecasting eruptions is a fundamental goal of volcanology. However, difficulties in
identifying eruptive precursors, fragmented approaches and lack of resources make eruption …

Magmatic water content controls the pre-eruptive depth of arc magmas

DJ Rasmussen, TA Plank, DC Roman, MM Zimmer - Science, 2022 - science.org
Vanguard efforts in forecasting volcanic eruptions are turning to physics-based models,
which require quantitative estimates of magma conditions during pre-eruptive storage …

Automatic precursor recognition and real-time forecasting of sudden explosive volcanic eruptions at Whakaari, New Zealand

DE Dempsey, SJ Cronin, S Mei… - Nature …, 2020 - nature.com
Sudden steam-driven eruptions strike without warning and are a leading cause of fatalities
at touristic volcanoes. Recent deaths following the 2019 Whakaari eruption in New Zealand …

The cascading origin of the 2018 Kīlauea eruption and implications for future forecasting

MR Patrick, BF Houghton, KR Anderson… - Nature …, 2020 - nature.com
The 2018 summit and flank eruption of Kīlauea Volcano was one of the largest volcanic
events in Hawaiʻi in 200 years. Data suggest that a backup in the magma plumbing system …

Detecting volcano‐related underground mass changes with a quantum gravimeter

L Antoni‐Micollier, D Carbone… - Geophysical …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
We present the world's first time series acquired in the summit area of an active volcano with
an absolute atom interferometry gravimeter. The device was installed∼ 2.5 km from the …

Mafic magma feeds degassing unrest at Vulcano Island, Italy

A Aiuppa, M Bitetto, S Calabrese… - … Earth & Environment, 2022 - nature.com
The benign fuming activity of dormant volcanoes is punctuated by phases of escalating
degassing activity that, on some occasions, ultimately prelude to eruption. However …

[HTML][HTML] Observing ocean ecosystem responses to volcanic ash

KM Bisson, S Gassó, N Mahowald, S Wagner… - Remote Sensing of …, 2023 - Elsevier
Volcanic eruptions can be catastrophic events, particularly when they occur in inhabited
coastal environments. They also play important roles in climate and biogeochemical cycles …

Defining the pre-eruptive states of active volcanoes for improving eruption forecasting

M Rosi, V Acocella, R Cioni, F Bianco… - Frontiers in Earth …, 2022 - frontiersin.org
A crucial feature to manage a volcanic crisis is the ability of volcanologists to promptly detect
an impending eruption. This is often affected by significant uncertainty, mainly for the …

Triggering the 2022 eruption of Mauna Loa

KJ Lynn, DT Downs, FA Trusdell, PE Wieser… - Nature …, 2024 - nature.com
Distinguishing periods of intermittent unrest from the run-up to eruption is a major challenge
at volcanoes around the globe. Comparing multidisciplinary monitoring data with mineral …