A novel forecast scenario-based robust energy management method for integrated rural energy systems with greenhouses

H Tan, Z Li, Q Wang, MA Mohamed - Applied Energy, 2023 - Elsevier
Traditional energy supplies in rural areas are mainly rural power grids and fossil energy,
which makes energy use inefficient and is not environmentally unfriendly. With the …

[HTML][HTML] A novel day-ahead regional and probabilistic wind power forecasting framework using deep CNNs and conformalized regression forests

J Jonkers, DN Avendano, G Van Wallendael… - Applied Energy, 2024 - Elsevier
Regional forecasting is crucial for a balanced energy delivery system and for achieving the
global transition to clean energy. However, regional wind forecasting is challenging due to …

Short-term wind power scenario generation based on conditional latent diffusion models

X Dong, Z Mao, Y Sun, X Xu - IEEE Transactions on …, 2023 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Quantifying short-term uncertainty in wind power plays a crucial role in power system
decision-making. In recent years, the scenario generation community has conducted …

Probabilistic online learning framework for short-term wind power forecasting using ensemble bagging regression model

AK Nayak, KC Sharma, R Bhakar, H Tiwari - Energy Conversion and …, 2025 - Elsevier
The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources, with a notable focus on wind
power, within modern electricity grids requires computationally efficient and burden-free …

Geometric loss-enabled complex neural network for multi-energy load forecasting in integrated energy systems

P Zhao, D Cao, W Hu, Y Huang, M Hao… - … on Power Systems, 2023 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Accurate multi-energy load forecasting plays an important role in the stable and secure
operation of integrated energy systems (IESs). The strong randomness and complex …

Short-term wind power forecast based on continuous conditional random field

M Li, M Yang, Y Yu, P Li, Q Wu - IEEE Transactions on Power …, 2023 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The randomness and volatility of wind power severely challenge the safety and economy of
power grids. Most short-term forecasting models exclusively concentrate on the correlation …

Day-ahead parametric probabilistic forecasting of wind and solar power generation using bounded probability distributions and hybrid neural networks

T Konstantinou, N Hatziargyriou - IEEE Transactions on …, 2023 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
The penetration of renewable energy sources in modern power systems increases at an
impressive rate. Due to their intermittent and uncertain nature, it is important to forecast their …

Nonparametric Stochastic Differential Equations for Ultra-Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting of Wind Power Generation

Y Xu, C Wan, G Yang, P Ju - IEEE Transactions on Power …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Ultra-short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting provides paramount uncertainty
information for power system real-time operation. However, the stochastic dynamics of wind …

Probabilistic Multienergy Load Forecasting Based on Hybrid Attention-Enabled Transformer Network and Gaussian Process-Aided Residual Learning

P Zhao, W Hu, D Cao, Z Zhang, Y Huang… - IEEE Transactions …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Precise multienergy load forecasting (MELF) significantly contributes to the stable and
economic operation of integrated energy systems (IES). However, existing MELF …

Continuous and distribution-free probabilistic wind power forecasting: A conditional normalizing flow approach

H Wen, P Pinson, J Ma, J Gu… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
We present a data-driven approach for probabilistic wind power forecasting based on
conditional normalizing flow (CNF). In contrast with the existing, this approach is distribution …