Forecasting changes in the macroeconomic situation in Switzerland: the smart economy of the future

O Rakhimova - Futurity Economics&Law, 2023 - futurity-econlaw.com
The global economy creates unequal conditions for the development of different countries in
terms of their endowment with resources, the ability to use technologies, the availability of …

Expediting Prediction Accuracy with Exploration and Incorporation of Virtual Data

SC Nayak, S Dehuri, SB Cho - SN Computer Science, 2024 - Springer
Achieving high accuracy in time series forecasting (TSF) is challenging; particularly for
series with inadequate training data or insignificant correlation among data. Modelling such …

[HTML][HTML] An Inconvenient Truth about Forecast Combinations

P Pincheira-Brown, A Bentancor, N Hardy - Mathematics, 2023 - mdpi.com
It is well-known that the weighted averages of two competing forecasts may reduce mean
squared prediction errors (MSPE) and may also introduce certain inefficiencies. In this …

Evolutionary hybrid neural networks for time series forecasting

S Behera, AV Ramana, PV Pratima… - … in Technology and …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Forecasting the trajectory of time series is notably challenging, primarily attributed to the
intrinsic non-linearities and continually shifting dynamics present in financial markets. In this …

Predictive Density Combination Using a Tree-Based Synthesis Function

T Chernis, N Hauzenberger, F Huber, G Koop… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS) provides a method for combining multiple predictive
distributions based on agent/expert opinion analysis theory and encompasses a range of …

Equivariant online predictions of non-stationary time series

K Takanashi, K McAlinn - arXiv preprint arXiv:1911.08662, 2019 - arxiv.org
We discuss the finite sample theoretical properties of online predictions in non-stationary
time series under model misspecification. To analyze the theoretical predictive properties of …