[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice

F Petropoulos, D Apiletti, V Assimakopoulos… - International Journal of …, 2022 - Elsevier
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …

Geographical distribution of fertility rates in 70 low-income, lower-middle-income, and upper-middle-income countries, 2010–16: a subnational analysis of cross …

C Pezzulo, K Nilsen, A Carioli… - The Lancet Global …, 2021 - thelancet.com
Background Understanding subnational variation in age-specific fertility rates (ASFRs) and
total fertility rates (TFRs), and geographical clustering of high fertility and its determinants in …

Spatial variation in fertility across Europe: Patterns and determinants

N Campisi, H Kulu, J Mikolai… - … , Space and Place, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
This study investigates spatial variation in fertility in Europe. We analyse spatial variation in
total fertility rates using small‐scale geographical data from 21 European countries for 2010 …

Educational differences in cohort fertility across sub-national regions in Europe

J Nisén, S Klüsener, J Dahlberg… - European Journal of …, 2021 - Springer
Educational differences in female cohort fertility vary strongly across high-income countries
and over time, but knowledge about how educational fertility differentials play out at the sub …

Theory and explanation in demography: The case of low fertility in Europe

E Graham - Population Studies, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
In the 50th anniversary edition of Population Studies, John Hobcraft commented that
demographers spend too little time trying to explain the phenomena they measure and …

The changing association between homeownership and the transition to parenthood

V Tocchioni, A Berrington, D Vignoli, A Vitali - Demography, 2021 - read.dukeupress.edu
The literature suggests a positive link between homeownership and the transition to
parenthood. However, in recent decades, couples' preference for becoming homeowners …

Comparison of second-child fertility intentions between local and migrant women in urban China: A Blinder–Oaxaca decomposition

M Zhou, W Guo - Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
With China's termination of the longstanding one-child policy and its implementation of a
universal two-child policy since 2016, it remains an open empirical question whether the …

Men's participation in childcare and housework and parity progression: A Japanese population-based study

T Kato, H Kumamaru, S Fukuda - Asian Population Studies, 2018 - Taylor & Francis
Although Japan has entered a phase of population decline due to decades of low fertility,
studies on the determinants of fertility choices among Japanese couples remain sparse …

Housing costs, self‐employment, and fertility

R Florida, C Mellander, K King - Population, Space and Place, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The decline in fertility across advanced nations is a well‐known fact. Becker famously
argued that declining rates of childbirth were the by‐product of higher levels of economic …

Ethnic fertility behavior and internal migration in Nigeria: revisiting the migrant fertility hypotheses

CO Odimegwu, Y Adewoyin - Genus, 2020 - Springer
Fertility patterns in Nigeria are high and widely skewed away from the targets of the country's
population policy. As population growth is fueled by natural increase and migration, and with …