Objective: The objective of this article is to develop a robust method for forecasting the transition from endemic to epidemic phases in contagious diseases using COVID-19 as a …
J Demongeot, C Fougère - Vaccines, 2022 - mdpi.com
Background: The adventure of the mRNA vaccine began thirty years ago in the context of influenza. This consisted in encapsulating the mRNA coding for a viral protein in a lipid …
A Melnyk, L Kozarov, S Wachsmann-Hogiu - Scientific Reports, 2023 - nature.com
The COVID-19 pandemic continues to emphasize the importance of epidemiological modelling in guiding timely and systematic responses to public health threats. Nonetheless …
The present paper aims to apply the mathematical ideas of the contagion networks in a discrete dynamic context to the modeling of two current pandemics, ie, COVID-19 and …
M Ndiaye, S Dabo-Niang… - Revista colombiana de …, 2022 - revistas.unal.edu.co
In this work, we consider a nonparametric prediction of a spatiofunctional process observed under a non-random sampling design. The proposed predictor is based on functional …
In this study, the problem of conditional density estimation of a scalar response variable, given a functional covariable, is considered. A new estimator is proposed by combining the k …
T Wistuba, A Mayr, C Staerk - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
We consider a retrospective modelling approach for estimating effective reproduction numbers based on death counts during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany …
P Vicente, A Suleman - BMC public health, 2022 - Springer
Background COVID-19 is a pandemic of unprecedented proportions in recent human history. To date, the world has paid a high toll in terms of human lives lost, and on economic …
Revisiting the classical model by Ross and Kermack-McKendrick, the Susceptible–Infectious– Recovered (SIR) model used to formalize the COVID-19 epidemic, requires improvements …