Intermittent and stochastic character of renewable energy sources: Consequences, cost of intermittence and benefit of forecasting

G Notton, ML Nivet, C Voyant, C Paoli, C Darras… - … and sustainable energy …, 2018 - Elsevier
Solar and wind energy are inherently time-varying sources of energy on scales from minutes
to seasons. Thus, the incorporation of such intermittent and stochastic renewable energy …

Solar radiation forecasting using artificial neural network and random forest methods: Application to normal beam, horizontal diffuse and global components

L Benali, G Notton, A Fouilloy, C Voyant, R Dizene - Renewable energy, 2019 - Elsevier
Three methods, smart persistence, artificial neural network and random forest, are compared
to forecast the three components of solar irradiation (global horizontal, beam normal and …

Some applications of ANN to solar radiation estimation and forecasting for energy applications

G Notton, C Voyant, A Fouilloy, JL Duchaud, ML Nivet - Applied Sciences, 2019 - mdpi.com
In solar energy, the knowledge of solar radiation is very important for the integration of
energy systems in building or electrical networks. Global horizontal irradiation (GHI) data are …

Forecasting of intermittent solar energy resource

G Notton, C Voyant - Advances in renewable energies and power …, 2018 - Elsevier
The intermittent and stochastic character of solar radiation makes the energy manager work
difficult especially to maintain the production/consumption balance within an electrical grid …

Forecasting solar irradiance at short horizons: Frequency and time domain models

G Reikard, C Hansen - Renewable energy, 2019 - Elsevier
A key issue in integrating solar power into the grid is short-term forecasting. Up to now, most
solar forecasting has been run in the time domain. But since the data are dominated by the …

Forecasting ground-level irradiance over short horizons: Time series, meteorological, and time-varying parameter models

G Reikard, SE Haupt, T Jensen - Renewable Energy, 2017 - Elsevier
One of the key enabling technologies for integrating solar energy into the grid is short-range
forecasting. Two issues have emerged in the literature. The first has to do with the relative …

[PDF][PDF] The SunCast solar-power forecasting system: the results of the public-private-academic partnership to advance solar power forecasting

SE Haupt, B Kosovic, T Jensen, J Lee… - National Center for …, 2016 - researchgate.net
In 2013, the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) was awarded a
collaborative agreement with the Department of Energy (DOE) SunShot Initiative to advance …

[HTML][HTML] Regime-dependent short-range solar irradiance forecasting

TC McCandless, GS Young, SE Haupt… - Journal of Applied …, 2016 - journals.ametsoc.org
This paper describes the development and testing of a cloud-regime-dependent short-range
solar irradiance forecasting system for predictions of 15-min-average clearness index …

Cluster analysis for classification and forecasting of solar irradiance in Durban, South Africa

P Govender, MJ Brooks, AP Matthews - Journal of Energy in Southern …, 2018 - scielo.org.za
Clustering of solar irradiance patterns was used in conjunction with cloud cover forecasts
from Numerical Weather Predictions for day-ahead forecasting of irradiance. Beam …

Solar power forecasting using mixture of probabilistic principal component analyzers

C Yuan, A Chakraborty, H Hackstein - US Patent 10,386,544, 2019 - Google Patents
A method for solar forecasting includes receiving a plurality of solar energy data as a
function of time of day at a first time, forecasting from the solar energy data a mode, where …