Placebo tests for causal inference

AC Eggers, G Tuñón, A Dafoe - American Journal of Political …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Placebo tests are increasingly common in applied social science research, but the
methodological literature has not previously offered a comprehensive account of what we …

[图书][B] Let the people rule: How direct democracy can meet the populist challenge

JG Matsusaka - 2020 - degruyter.com
Propelled by the belief that government has slipped out of the hands of ordinary citizens, a
surging wave of populism is destabilizing democracies around the world. As John …

Winner and loser effects and social rank in humans

NMT Smith, R Dukas - The Quarterly Review of Biology, 2024 - journals.uchicago.edu
In many animals, the winners of a fight are more likely to win subsequent contests, while the
losers tend to lose their following fights. Such winner and loser effects can have a large …

Reporting all results efficiently: A RARE proposal to open up the file drawer

DD Laitin, E Miguel, A Alrababa'h… - Proceedings of the …, 2021 - National Acad Sciences
While the social sciences have made impressive progress in adopting transparent research
practices that facilitate verification, replication, and reuse of materials, the problem of …

Sign-congruence, external validity, and replication

T Slough, SA Tyson - Political Analysis, 2024 - cambridge.org
We develop a formal framework for accumulating evidence across studies and apply it to
develop theoretical foundations for replication. Our primary contribution is to characterize the …

Do politically irrelevant events cause conflict? The cross-continental effects of European professional football on protests in Africa

K Kikuta, M Uesugi - International organization, 2023 - cambridge.org
We examine whether politically irrelevant events can cause conflicts, by analyzing the
effects of professional football games in Europe on protests in Africa—an unintended …

The impact of incidental environmental factors on vote choice: Wind speed is related to more prevention-focused voting

CH Mo, JM Jachimowicz, JI Menges, AD Galinsky - Political Behavior, 2024 - Springer
How might irrelevant events infiltrate voting decisions? The current research introduces a
new mechanism—regulatory focus—by which incidental environmental factors can affect …

Distinguishing between false positives and genuine results: the case of irrelevant events and elections

A Fowler, BP Montagnes - The Journal of Politics, 2023 - journals.uchicago.edu
Graham et al. attempt to reassess previous findings on the electoral effects of droughts,
floods, tornadoes, and college football games. Reassessing previous findings by collecting …

Unveiling the Real Madrid effect: the impact of football-related acrimony on elections

V Alfano, S Ercolano - Economia Politica, 2024 - Springer
Contributing to the literature on so-called irrelevant events, this article aims to investigate the
existence of a relation between football results and voters' behaviour. There are indeed …

Does sports success increase government support? Voter (ir) rationality in a multiparty context

L Rapeli, P Söderlund - Research & Politics, 2022 - journals.sagepub.com
A growing number of studies discuss the impact of non-political factors on the political
success of incumbents. Theoretically, this literature addresses core ideas about electoral …