Demographic perspectives on the rise of longevity

JW Vaupel, F Villavicencio… - Proceedings of the …, 2021 - National Acad Sciences
This article reviews some key strands of demographic research on past trends in human
longevity and explores possible future trends in life expectancy at birth. Demographic data …

The modal age at death and the shifting mortality hypothesis

V Canudas-Romo - Demographic Research, 2008 - JSTOR
The modal age at death is used to study the shifting mortality scenario experienced by low
mortality countries. The relations of the life table functions at the modal age are analyzed …

Challenges for real‐time intraoperative diagnosis of high risk histology in lung adenocarcinoma: a necessity for sublobar resection

Y Takahashi, H Kuroda, Y Oya, N Matsutani… - Thoracic …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Recently, the incidence of small, peripheral lung adenocarcinoma has been increasing as
lung cancer screening with radiologic examination is more widely performed. Tumor size is …

Future life expectancy in Europe taking into account the impact of smoking, obesity, and alcohol

F Janssen, A Bardoutsos, S El Gewily, J De Beer - Elife, 2021 - elifesciences.org
Introduction: In Europe, women can expect to live on average 82 years and men 75 years.
Forecasting how life expectancy will develop in the future is essential for society. Most …

Impact of different mortality forecasting methods and explicit assumptions on projected future life expectancy: The case of the Netherlands

L Stoeldraijer, C van Duin, L van Wissen… - Demographic Research, 2013 - JSTOR
BACKGROUND With the rapid aging of the population, mortality forecasting becomes
increasingly important, especially for the insurance and pension industries. However, a wide …

The old-age healthy dependency ratio in Europe

MM Muszyńska, R Rau - Journal of population ageing, 2012 - Springer
The aim of this study is to answer the question of whether improvements in the health of the
elderly in European countries could compensate for population ageing on the supply side of …

The combined impact of smoking, obesity and alcohol on life-expectancy trends in Europe

F Janssen, S Trias-Llimos… - International Journal of …, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Background Smoking, obesity and alcohol abuse greatly affect mortality and exhibit a
distinct time dynamic, with their prevalence and associated mortality rates increasing and …

On age-period-cohort parametric mortality rate projections

S Haberman, A Renshaw - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2009 - Elsevier
An enhanced version of the Lee–Carter modelling approach to mortality forecasting, which
has been extended to include an age modulated cohort index in addition to the standard …

Point and interval forecasts of death rates using neural networks

S Schnürch, R Korn - ASTIN Bulletin: The Journal of the IAA, 2022 - cambridge.org
The Lee–Carter model has become a benchmark in stochastic mortality modeling. However,
its forecasting performance can be significantly improved upon by modern machine learning …

Including the smoking epidemic in internationally coherent mortality projections

F Janssen, LJG van Wissen, AE Kunst - Demography, 2013 - Springer
We present a new mortality projection methodology that distinguishes smoking-and non-
smoking-related mortality and takes into account mortality trends of the opposite sex and in …