[HTML][HTML] Uncertainty-aware probabilistic graph neural networks for road-level traffic crash prediction

X Gao, X Jiang, J Haworth, D Zhuang, S Wang… - Accident Analysis & …, 2024 - Elsevier
Traffic crashes present substantial challenges to human safety and socio-economic
development in urban areas. Developing a reliable and responsible traffic crash prediction …

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks with uncertainty quantification for traffic incident risk prediction

X Gao, X Jiang, D Zhuang, H Chen, S Wang… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Predicting traffic incident risks at granular spatiotemporal levels is challenging. The datasets
predominantly feature zero values, indicating no incidents, with sporadic high-risk values for …

A Tweedie compound Poisson model in reproducing kernel Hilbert space

Y Lian, AY Yang, B Wang, P Shi, RW Platt - Technometrics, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Tweedie models can be used to analyze nonnegative continuous data with a probability
mass at zero. There have been wide applications in natural science, healthcare research …

Spatial Tweedie exponential dispersion models: An application to insurance rate-making

A Halder, S Mohammed, K Chen… - Scandinavian Actuarial …, 2021 - Taylor & Francis
In this paper we propose a statistical modeling framework that contributes to advancing
methods for modeling insurance policy premium in the actuarial literature. Specification of …

Bayesian Variable Selection in Double Generalized Linear Tweedie Spatial Process Models

A Halder, S Mohammed, DK Dey - arXiv preprint arXiv:2306.11165, 2023 - arxiv.org
Double generalized linear models provide a flexible framework for modeling data by
allowing the mean and the dispersion to vary across observations. Common members of the …

[PDF][PDF] Interaction Selection and Evaluation for Tweedie's Compound Poisson Models

L Wang - ctdigitalarchive.org
In actuarial, ecological and political sciences, we often encounter data that are highly right-
skewed but have a spike at zero. To model such mixed types of data, Tweedie's compound …

Wombling for Spatial and Spatiotemporal Processes: Applications to Insurance Data

A Halder - 2020 - digitalcommons.lib.uconn.edu
In this dissertation we focus on developing a framework for detecting zones of rapid change
within a surface that is spatially or spatiotemporally indexed, which is termed as wombling …