Artificial intelligence for climate prediction of extremes: State of the art, challenges, and future perspectives

S Materia, LP García, C van Straaten… - Wiley …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Extreme events such as heat waves and cold spells, droughts, heavy rain, and storms are
particularly challenging to predict accurately due to their rarity and chaotic nature, and …

[HTML][HTML] Statistical postprocessing for weather forecasts: Review, challenges, and avenues in a big data world

S Vannitsem, JB Bremnes, J Demaeyer… - Bulletin of the …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Statistical postprocessing techniques are nowadays key components of the forecasting
suites in many national meteorological services (NMS), with, for most of them, the objective …

Machine learning methods for postprocessing ensemble forecasts of wind gusts: A systematic comparison

B Schulz, S Lerch - Monthly Weather Review, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Postprocessing ensemble weather predictions to correct systematic errors has become a
standard practice in research and operations. However, only a few recent studies have …

Convolutional neural network-based statistical post-processing of ensemble precipitation forecasts

W Li, B Pan, J Xia, Q Duan - Journal of hydrology, 2022 - Elsevier
Raw forecasts from numerical weather prediction models suffer from systematic bias and
cannot be directly used in applications such as hydrological forecasting. Statistical post …

Probabilistic predictions from deterministic atmospheric river forecasts with deep learning

WE Chapman, L Delle Monache… - Monthly Weather …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Deep-learning (DL) postprocessing methods are examined to obtain reliable and accurate
probabilistic forecasts from single-member numerical weather predictions of integrated …

Using explainable machine learning forecasts to discover subseasonal drivers of high summer temperatures in western and central Europe

C Van Straaten, K Whan, D Coumou… - Monthly Weather …, 2022 - journals.ametsoc.org
Reliable subseasonal forecasts of high summer temperatures would be very valuable for
society. Although state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction (NWP) models have become …

Creating and evaluating uncertainty estimates with neural networks for environmental-science applications

K Haynes, R Lagerquist, M McGraw… - … Intelligence for the …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Neural networks (NN) have become an important tool for prediction tasks—both regression
and classification—in environmental science. Since many environmental-science problems …

Foundation models for weather and climate data understanding: A comprehensive survey

S Chen, G Long, J Jiang, D Liu, C Zhang - arXiv preprint arXiv:2312.03014, 2023 - arxiv.org
As artificial intelligence (AI) continues to rapidly evolve, the realm of Earth and atmospheric
sciences is increasingly adopting data-driven models, powered by progressive …

A novel hybrid artificial neural network-parametric scheme for postprocessing medium-range precipitation forecasts

M Ghazvinian, Y Zhang, DJ Seo, M He… - Advances in Water …, 2021 - Elsevier
Many present-day statistical schemes for postprocessing weather forecasts, in particular
precipitation forecasts, rely on calibration using prescribed statistical models to relate …

Deep learning forecast uncertainty for precipitation over the Western United States

W Hu, M Ghazvinian, WE Chapman… - Monthly Weather …, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Reliably quantifying uncertainty in precipitation forecasts remains a critical challenge. This
work examines the application of a deep learning (DL) architecture, Unet, for postprocessing …