Аннотация Описаны направления перспективных исследований в области анализа и
моделирования динамики временных рядов процессов в сложных системах с …

9 Российский технологический журнал. 2020; 8 (4): 7-45 complex systems with the
presence of the human factor, in addition to traditional factors, it is necessary to develop and …

This article reviews and analyzes the historical development, innovations, and challenges of
election forecasting models in Britain. To anticipate challenges for forecasters, we proceed …

This study reports the results of a multiyear program to predict direct executive elections in a
variety of countries from globally pooled data. We developed prediction models by means of …

Forecasting election results has been a highly attractive activity among political and social
scientists. Different forecasting methods have been proposed, but those based on public …

From the 1970s onwards, a wide range of forecasting techniques have been developed in
the literature on electoral forecasting. However, these models have primarily been applied in …

During the last decade, the use social media has provided a virtual community where the
users express their intention, opinion and communicate with others. Organizations and …

Little is known about the evolution of electoral sentiment over B ritish election cycles. How
does party support converge on the eventual election outcome? Do preferences evolve in a …

Are ordinary citizens better at predicting election results than conventional voter intention
polls? The authors address this question by comparing eight forecasting models for British …

In this article, we propose a polling accuracy measure for multi-party elections based on a
generalization of Martin, Traugott, and Kennedy's two-party predictive accuracy index …