Methods for small area population forecasts: State-of-the-art and research needs

T Wilson, I Grossman, M Alexander, P Rees… - … Research and Policy …, 2022 - Springer
Small area population forecasts are widely used by government and business for a variety of
planning, research and policy purposes, and often influence major investment decisions …

Land mismatches, urban growth and spatial planning: A contribution to metropolitan sustainability

G Egidi, S Cividino, G Quaranta, A Alhuseen… - Environmental Impact …, 2020 - Elsevier
The unequal growth of population and buildings in metropolitan regions reflects dispersed
urban expansion. This study illustrates an operational framework grounded on a diachronic …

Projecting health-ageing trajectories in Europe using a dynamic microsimulation model

G Marois, A Aktas - Scientific reports, 2021 - nature.com
The extent of the challenges and opportunities that population ageing presents depends
heavily on the population's health. Hence, for the development of appropriate strategies that …

Heterogeneous housing choice and residential mobility under housing reform in China: Evidence from Tianjin

Y Liu, S Yu, T Sun - Applied Geography, 2021 - Elsevier
Chinese cities have changed from an egalitarian work unit based residential system toward
a diversified housing estate-based neighborhood system under market-oriented reform and …

Simple geographies for complex problems? Revisiting long-term urbanization and settlement population mismatches using elasticity indicators and context-based …

L Salvati - The Annals of Regional Science, 2024 - Springer
Diverging rates of population growth and urban expansion have been frequently taken as a
proxy of land consumption in advanced economies. As a novel contribution to diachronic …

Population demographic tracking and estimation tool: a simulation-dashboard for urban redevelopment's demographic implications in Israel

D Levine, S Sussman, M Aharon-Gutman… - Frontiers in Built …, 2024 - frontiersin.org
This research introduces a pioneering methodology and user-friendly online dashboard for
examining population shifts during urban redevelopment in Bat Yam, Israel, part of the Tel …

A mixed logit model analysis of residential choices of the young-elderly in the Montreal metropolitan area

G Marois, S Lord, C Morency - Journal of Housing Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
The residential choices of seniors are an important issue to be considered in both social
sciences and in urban planning. In this study, we aimed to analyze how the young-elderly in …

Comparison of iterative proportional fitting and simulated annealing as synthetic population generation techniques: Importance of the rounding method

A Durán-Heras, I García-Gutiérrez… - … , Environment and Urban …, 2018 - Elsevier
Approaches to space-related problems that model decision-making and interactions at the
level of individuals, and thus require disaggregated population data (ie specifying all …

The (Evolving) urban footprint under sequential building cycles and changing socio-demographic contexts

I Zambon, P Serra, L Salvati - Environmental Impact Assessment Review, 2019 - Elsevier
Total and per-capita urbanization rates are increasingly divergent worldwide, indicating an
accelerated land consumption and an increased ecological footprint of cities. Under the …

Accuracy of Local Authority Population Forecasts Produced by a New Minimal Data Model: A Case Study of England

P Rees, T Wilson - Population Research and Policy Review, 2023 - Springer
The preparation of forecasts for small and local area populations involves many challenges.
Standard cohort-component models are problematic because of small numbers, which make …