Where the winds clash: what is really triggering El Niño initiation?

GL Eusebi Borzelli, S Carniel - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2023 - nature.com
Abstract El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the Earth's strongest source of year-to-year
climate variability, whose center of action, although being in the tropical Pacific, influences …

The effect of Indian Ocean temperature on the Pacific trade winds and ENSO

BS Ferster, AV Fedorov, E Guilyardi… - Geophysical Research …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A notable shift in the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has been observed in the early
21st century, characterized by an increased prevalence of Central Pacific (CP) events and …

Improving the Forecasting of El Niño Amplitude Based on an Ensemble Forecast Strategy for Westerly Wind Bursts

C Ji, M Mu, X Fang, L Tao - Journal of Climate, 2023 - journals.ametsoc.org
Abstract The forecasting of El Niño amplitude remains uncertain, with false alarms or
underestimations often occurring. It has been suggested that westerly wind bursts (WWBs) …

Stronger Westerly Wind Bursts in a Warming Climate: The Effects of the Pacific Warming Pattern, the Madden–Julian Oscillation, and Tropical Cyclones

Y Liang, AV Fedorov - Journal of Climate, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Westerly wind bursts (WWBs) in the western–central equatorial Pacific are critical in El Niño–
Southern Oscillation (ENSO) dynamics. Understanding how they may change with global …

Why Do Oceanic Nonlinearities Contribute Only Weakly to Extreme El Niño Events?

F Liu, J Vialard, AV Fedorov, C Éthé… - Geophysical …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract Extreme El Niño events have outsized global impacts and control the El Niño
Southern Oscillation (ENSO) warm/cold phases asymmetries. Yet, a consensus regarding …

Widening of Wind Stress Anomalies Amplifies ENSO in a Warming Climate

J Stuivenvolt-Allen, AV Fedorov, M Fu… - Journal of …, 2024 - journals.ametsoc.org
Climate change simulations generally indicate the strengthening of El Niño–Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) sea surface temperature (SST) variability through the twenty-first century …

The El Niño Southern Oscillation Recharge Oscillator with the Stochastic Forcing of Long-Term Memory

X Li, Y Li - Fractal and Fractional, 2024 - mdpi.com
The influence of the fast-varying variables that have a long-term memory on the El Niño
Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is investigated by adding a fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck …

On the response of the Equatorial Atmosphere and Ocean to changes in Sea Surface Temperature along the Path of the North Equatorial Counter Current

DJ Webb - EGUsphere, 2024 - egusphere.copernicus.org
The CESM climate model is used to test the hypothesis that the changes observed during El
Niños are, at least in part, a response of the coupled ocean/atmosphere system to changes …