Piecing together the past: statistical insights into paleoclimatic reconstructions

MP Tingley, PF Craigmile, M Haran, B Li… - Quaternary Science …, 2012 - Elsevier
Reconstructing a climate process in both space and time from incomplete instrumental and
climate proxy time series is a problem with clear societal relevance that poses both scientific …

A Bayesian, spatially-varying calibration model for the TEX86 proxy

JE Tierney, MP Tingley - Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, 2014 - Elsevier
TEX 86 is an important proxy for constraining ocean temperatures in the Earth's past.
Current calibrations, however, feature structured residuals indicative of a spatially-varying …

A Bayesian spatiotemporal model for reconstructing climate from multiple pollen records

L Holmström, L Ilvonen, H Seppä, S Veski - 2015 - projecteuclid.org
Additional analyses, reconstructions and description of the data. The document (a pdf-file)
includes an analysis of the Gaussian response model and its parameters, reference records …

A Bayesian multinomial regression model for palaeoclimate reconstruction with time uncertainty

L Ilvonen, L Holmström, H Seppä, S Veski - Environmetrics, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Estimating chronological uncertainty is a critical but often neglected prerequisite in
palaeoclimatological reconstructions and core comparisons. We describe a hierarchical …

Numerical studies on the Impact of the Last Glacial Cycle on recent borehole temperature profiles: implications for terrestrial energy balance

H Beltrami, GS Matharoo, L Tarasov, V Rath… - Climate of the …, 2014 - cp.copernicus.org
Reconstructions of past climatic changes from borehole temperature profiles are important
independent estimates of temperature histories over the last millennium. There remain …

Finding a consensus on credible features among several paleoclimate reconstructions

P Erästö, L Holmström, A Korhola… - The Annals of Applied …, 2012 - JSTOR
We propose a method to merge several paleoclimate time series into one that exhibits a
consensus on the features of the individual times series. The paleoclimate time series can …

Specification and estimation of the transfer function in dendroclimatological reconstructions

M Auffhammer, B Li, B Wright, SJ Yoo - Environmental and Ecological …, 2015 - Springer
We identify two issues with the reverse regression approach as implemented in several
classic reconstructions of past climate fluctuations from dendroclimatologcical data series …

Statistical modelling of ground temperature in mountain permafrost

J Blanchet, AC Davison - Proceedings of the Royal …, 2012 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Permafrost consists of soil and rocks that remain at 0° C or below for at least two consecutive
years. In mountains, permafrost ground ice acts like cement, stabilizing rock walls. Its …

Bayesian hierarchical space-time clustering methods

ZM Thomas - 2015 - rave.ohiolink.edu
An important statistical challenge lies in the specification of flexible spatio-temporal models
capable of capturing complex, nonstationary dependence structure in the underlying …

Climate Change Impact on the Spatio-Temporal Variability of Hydro-Climate Extremes

MR Najafi - 2013 - search.proquest.com
The rising temperature of the earth due to climate change has shown to alter the variations
of hydro-climate variables, including their intensities, frequencies and durations. Extreme …