Narrative sign restrictions for SVARs

J Antolín-Díaz, JF Rubio-Ramírez - American Economic Review, 2018 - aeaweb.org
We identify structural vector autoregressions using narrative sign restrictions. Narrative sign
restrictions constrain the structural shocks and/or the historical decomposition around key …

Monetary policy, real activity, and credit spreads: Evidence from Bayesian proxy SVARs

D Caldara, E Herbst - American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2019 - aeaweb.org
In this paper, we develop a Bayesian framework to estimate a proxy structural vector
autoregression to identify monetary policy shocks. We find that during the Great Moderation …

The time-varying effect of monetary policy on asset prices

P Paul - Review of Economics and Statistics, 2020 - direct.mit.edu
This paper studies how monetary policy jointly affects asset prices and the real economy in
the United States. I develop an estimator that uses high-frequency surprises as a proxy for …

The missing intercept: A demand equivalence approach

CK Wolf - American Economic Review, 2023 - aeaweb.org
I give conditions under which changes in private spending are accommodated in general
equilibrium exactly like changes in aggregate fiscal expenditure. Under such demand …

Inference in bayesian proxy-svars

JE Arias, JF Rubio-Ramírez, DF Waggoner - Journal of Econometrics, 2021 - Elsevier
Motivated by the increasing use of external instruments to identify structural vector
autoregressions (SVARs), we develop an algorithm for exact finite sample inference in this …

[PDF][PDF] The time-varying effect of monetary policy on asset prices

P Paul - 2019 - frbsf.org
This paper studies how monetary policy jointly affects asset prices and the real economy in
the United States. I develop an estimator that uses high-frequency surprises as a proxy for …

Identification of SVAR models by combining sign restrictions with external instruments

R Braun, R Brüggemann - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
We discuss combining sign restrictions with information in external instruments (proxy
variables) to identify structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) models. In one setting, we …

Inference in Bayesian Proxy-SVARs

J Arias, JF Rubio-Ramirez, DF Waggoner - 2018 - papers.ssrn.com
Motivated by the increasing use of external instruments to identify structural vector
autoregressions SVARs), we develop algorithms for exact finite sample inference in this …

Proxy svars: asymptotic theory, bootstrap inference, and the effects of income tax changes in the united states

C Jentsch, KG Lunsford - 2016 - papers.ssrn.com
Proxy structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) identify structural shocks in vector
autoregressions (VARs) with external proxy variables that are correlated with the structural …

The dynamic effects of personal and corporate income tax changes in the United States: Reply

K Mertens, MO Ravn - American Economic Review, 2019 - aeaweb.org
In this reply to a comment by Jentsch and Lunsford, we show that the evidence for economic
and statistically significant macroeconomic effects of tax changes in Mertens and Ravn …