In recent years, there has been a surge in the study of representation and elections in local
politics. Scholars have made progress on many of the empirical barriers that stymied earlier …

A review of the evidence leaves no doubt election campaigns do matter in a variety of
important ways. The serious questions concern when, where, why, how, for what, and for …

Segregation across social groups is an enduring feature of nearly all human societies and is
associated with numerous social maladies. In many countries, reports of growing …

Online social media are changing the face of politics in the United States. Beginning with a
strong theoretical foundation grounded in political, communications and psychology …

The growing usage of social media by a wider audience of citizens sharply increases the
possibility of investigating the web as a device to explore and track political preferences. In …

Bayesian Data Analysis describes how to conceptualize, perform, and critique statistical
analyses from a Bayesian perspective. Using examples largely from the authors' own …

With little fanfare, the electoral advantage enjoyed by US representatives has fallen over the
past several elections to levels not seen since the 1950s. The incumbency advantage has …

As recently as the early 1970s, the news media was one of the most respected institutions in
the United States. Yet by the 1990s, this trust had all but evaporated. Why has confidence in …

This paper establishes the relatively weak conditions under which causal inferences from a
regression–discontinuity (RD) analysis can be as credible as those from a randomized …

Abstract In the Regression Discontinuity (RD) design, units are assigned a treatment based
on whether their value of an observed covariate is above or below a fixed cutoff. Under the …