Perspectives on the future of land surface models and the challenges of representing complex terrestrial systems

RA Fisher, CD Koven - Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Land surface models (LSMs) are a vital tool for understanding, projecting, and predicting the
dynamics of the land surface and its role within the Earth system, under global change …

[PDF][PDF] Climate change 2022: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability

C Parmesan, MD Morecroft, Y Trisurat - 2022 - hal.science
Chapter 2, building on prior assessments1, provides a global assessment of the observed
impacts and projected risks of climate change to terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems …

Terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems and their services

C Parmesan, MD Morecroft, Y Trisurat, R Adrian… - 2023 - ueaeprints.uea.ac.uk
Chapter 2, building on prior assessments, provides a global assessment of the observed
impacts and projected risks of climate change to terrestrial and freshwater ecosystems …

Global ensemble projections reveal trophic amplification of ocean biomass declines with climate change

HK Lotze, DP Tittensor… - Proceedings of the …, 2019 - National Acad Sciences
While the physical dimensions of climate change are now routinely assessed through
multimodel intercomparisons, projected impacts on the global ocean ecosystem generally …

[HTML][HTML] Towards an increasingly biased view on Arctic change

E López-Blanco, E Topp-Jørgensen… - Nature Climate …, 2024 - nature.com
Abstract The Russian invasion of Ukraine hampers the ability to adequately describe
conditions across the Arctic, thus biasing the view on Arctic change. Here we benchmark the …

Understanding the uncertainty in global forest carbon turnover

TAM Pugh, T Rademacher, SL Shafer… - …, 2020 - bg.copernicus.org
The length of time that carbon remains in forest biomass is one of the largest uncertainties in
the global carbon cycle, with both recent historical baselines and future responses to …

What drives the future supply of regulating ecosystem services in a mountain forest landscape?

R Seidl, K Albrich, K Erb, H Formayer… - Forest Ecology and …, 2019 - Elsevier
Forest ecosystems provide a wide variety of ecosystem services to society. In harsh
mountain environments, the regulating services of forests are of particular importance …

Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections

P Alexander, R Prestele, PH Verburg… - Global change …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
Understanding uncertainties in land cover projections is critical to investigating land‐based
climate mitigation policies, assessing the potential of climate adaptation strategies and …

[HTML][HTML] Impact of climate and socioeconomic changes on fire carbon emissions in the future: Sustainable economic development might decrease future emissions

CY Park, K Takahashi, F Li, J Takakura… - Global Environmental …, 2023 - Elsevier
Fires and their associated carbon and air pollutant emissions have a broad range of
environmental and societal impacts, including negative effects on human health, damage to …

Large uncertainties in future biome changes in Africa call for flexible climate adaptation strategies

C Martens, T Hickler, C Davis‐Reddy… - Global Change …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Anthropogenic climate change is expected to impact ecosystem structure, biodiversity and
ecosystem services in Africa profoundly. We used the adaptive Dynamic Global Vegetation …