Neural temporal point processes: A review

O Shchur, AC Türkmen, T Januschowski… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2021 - arxiv.org
Temporal point processes (TPP) are probabilistic generative models for continuous-time
event sequences. Neural TPPs combine the fundamental ideas from point process literature …

Language models can improve event prediction by few-shot abductive reasoning

X Shi, S Xue, K Wang, F Zhou… - Advances in …, 2024 - proceedings.neurips.cc
Large language models have shown astonishing performance on a wide range of reasoning
tasks. In this paper, we investigate whether they could reason about real-world events and …

Hypro: A hybridly normalized probabilistic model for long-horizon prediction of event sequences

S Xue, X Shi, J Zhang, H Mei - Advances in Neural …, 2022 - proceedings.neurips.cc
In this paper, we tackle the important yet under-investigated problem of making long-horizon
prediction of event sequences. Existing state-of-the-art models do not perform well at this …

Transformer embeddings of irregularly spaced events and their participants

C Yang, H Mei, J Eisner - arXiv preprint arXiv:2201.00044, 2021 - arxiv.org
The neural Hawkes process (Mei & Eisner, 2017) is a generative model of irregularly spaced
sequences of discrete events. To handle complex domains with many event types, Mei et …

Easytpp: Towards open benchmarking the temporal point processes

S Xue, X Shi, Z Chu, Y Wang, F Zhou, H Hao… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Continuous-time event sequences play a vital role in real-world domains such as
healthcare, finance, online shopping, social networks, and so on. To model such data …

Accordion: a trainable simulator for long-term interactive systems

J McInerney, E Elahi, J Basilico, Y Raimond… - Proceedings of the 15th …, 2021 - dl.acm.org
As machine learning methods are increasingly used in interactive systems it becomes
common for user experiences to be the result of an ecosystem of machine learning models …

Attentive neural point processes for event forecasting

Y Gu - Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial …, 2021 - ojs.aaai.org
Event sequence, where each event is associated with a marker and a timestamp, is
increasingly ubiquitous in various applications. Accordingly, event forecasting emerges to …

Distribution-free conformal joint prediction regions for neural marked temporal point processes

V Dheur, T Bosser, R Izbicki, S Ben Taieb - Machine Learning, 2024 - Springer
Sequences of labeled events observed at irregular intervals in continuous time are
ubiquitous across various fields. Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) provide a mathematical …

Concurrent multi-label prediction in event streams

X Shou, T Gao, D Subramanian… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - ojs.aaai.org
Streams of irregularly occurring events are commonly modeled as a marked temporal point
process. Many real-world datasets such as e-commerce transactions and electronic health …

Pretrain, prompt, and transfer: Evolving digital twins for time-to-event analysis in cyber-physical systems

Q Xu, T Yue, S Ali, M Arratibel - IEEE Transactions on Software …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Cyber-physical systems (CPSs), eg, elevators and autonomous driving systems, are
progressively permeating our everyday lives. To ensure their safety, various analyses need …