Effective statistical learning methods for actuaries

M Denuit, J Trufin - 2019 - Springer
The present material is written for students enrolled in actuarial master programs and
practicing actuaries, who would like to gain a better understanding of insurance data …

Autocalibration and Tweedie-dominance for insurance pricing with machine learning

M Denuit, A Charpentier, J Trufin - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
Boosting techniques and neural networks are particularly effective machine learning
methods for insurance pricing. Often in practice, the sum of fitted values can depart from the …

Model selection with Gini indices under auto-calibration

MV Wüthrich - European Actuarial Journal, 2023 - Springer
The Gini index does not give a strictly consistent scoring function. Therefore, simply
maximizing the Gini index may lead to a wrong model choice. The main issue is that the Gini …

Model selection with Pearson's correlation, concentration and Lorenz curves under autocalibration

M Denuit, J Trufin - European Actuarial Journal, 2023 - Springer
Wüthrich (Eur Actuar J, https://doi. org/10.1007/s13385-022-00339-9, 2023) established that
the Gini index is a consistent scoring rule in the class of autocalibrated predictors. This note …

Assessing the performance of random forests for modeling claim severity in collision car insurance

Y Staudt, J Wagner - Risks, 2021 - mdpi.com
For calculating non-life insurance premiums, actuaries traditionally rely on separate severity
and frequency models using covariates to explain the claims loss exposure. In this paper …

Risk sharing under the dominant peer‐to‐peer property and casualty insurance business models

M Denuit, CY Robert - Risk Management and Insurance …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
This paper purposes to formalize the three business models dominating peer‐to‐peer (P2P)
property and casualty insurance: the self‐governing model, the broker model, and the carrier …

Convex and Lorenz orders under balance correction in nonlife insurance pricing: Review and new developments

M Denuit, J Trufin - Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2024 - Elsevier
By exploiting massive amounts of data, machine learning techniques provide actuaries with
predictors exhibiting high correlation with claim frequencies and severities. However, these …

Does autocalibration improve goodness of lift?

N Ciatto, H Verelst, J Trufin, M Denuit - European Actuarial Journal, 2023 - Springer
Autocalibration is a desirable property since it ensures that the information contained in a
candidate premium is used without any bias. It turns out to be intimately related to the …

Insurance pricing with hierarchically structured data an illustration with a workers' compensation insurance portfolio

BDC Campo, K Antonio - Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
Actuaries use predictive modeling techniques to assess the loss cost on a contract as a
function of observable risk characteristics. State-of-the-art statistical and machine learning …

Modelling MTPL insurance claim events: Can machine learning methods overperform the traditional GLM approach?

D Burka, L Kovács, L Szepesváry - Hungarian Statistical Review, 2021 - real.mtak.hu
Pricing an insurance product covering motor third-party liability is a major challenge for
actuaries. Comprehensive statistical modelling and modern computational power are …