Volatility and dynamic dependence modeling: Review, applications, and financial risk management

MKP So, AMY Chu, CCY Lo… - Wiley Interdisciplinary …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Since the introduction of ARCH models close to 40 years ago, a wide range of models for
volatility estimation and prediction have been developed and integrated into asset …

Quantitative modelling frontiers: a literature review on the evolution in financial and risk modelling after the financial crisis (2008–2019)

M Vogl - SN Business & Economics, 2022 - Springer
This study provides a holistic and quantitative overview of over 800 mathematical methods
(eg, financial and risk models, statistical tests, statistics and advanced algorithms) taken out …

Bayesian estimation of realized GARCH-type models with application to financial tail risk management

CWS Chen, T Watanabe, EMH Lin - Econometrics and Statistics, 2023 - Elsevier
Advances in the various realized GARCH models have proven effective in taking account of
the bias in realized volatility (RV) introduced by microstructure noise and non-trading hours …

Gaussian process regression stochastic volatility model for financial time series

J Han, XP Zhang, F Wang - IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in …, 2016 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Traditional economic models have rigid-form transition functions when modeling time-
varying volatility of financial time series data and cannot capture other time-varying …

Forecasting daily volatility of stock price index using daily returns and realized volatility

M Takahashi, T Watanabe, Y Omori - Econometrics and Statistics, 2021 - Elsevier
A comprehensive comparison of the volatility predictive abilities of different classes of time-
varying volatility models is considered. The models include the exponential GARCH …

Bayesian quantile forecasting via the realized hysteretic GARCH model

CWS Chen, EMH Lin, TFJ Huang - Journal of Forecasting, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
This research introduces a new model, a realized hysteretic GARCH, that is similar to a three‐
regime nonlinear framework combined with daily returns and realized volatility. The setup …

A forecast comparison of volatility models using realized volatility: Evidence from the Bitcoin market

T Hattori - Applied economics letters, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
This paper first evaluates the volatility modeling in the Bitcoin market in terms of its realized
volatility, which is considered to be a reliable proxy of its true volatility. Based on the 5 …

Multivariate stochastic volatility model with realized volatilities and pairwise realized correlations

Y Yamauchi, Y Omori - Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2020 - Taylor & Francis
Although stochastic volatility and GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional
heteroscedasticity) models have successfully described the volatility dynamics of univariate …

Bayesian realized-GARCH models for financial tail risk forecasting incorporating the two-sided Weibull distribution

C Wang, Q Chen, R Gerlach - Quantitative Finance, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
The realized-GARCH framework is extended to incorporate the two-sided Weibull
distribution, for the purpose of volatility and tail risk forecasting in a financial time series …

Box–Cox realized asymmetric stochastic volatility models with generalized Student's t-error distributions

DB Nugroho, T Morimoto - Journal of Applied Statistics, 2016 - Taylor & Francis
This study proposes a class of non-linear realized stochastic volatility (SV) model by
applying the Box–Cox (BC) transformation, instead of the logarithmic transformation, to the …