A guide to state–space modeling of ecological time series

M Auger‐Méthé, K Newman, D Cole… - Ecological …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
State–space models (SSMs) are an important modeling framework for analyzing ecological
time series. These hierarchical models are commonly used to model population dynamics …

Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens

JA Polonsky, A Baidjoe, ZN Kamvar… - … of the Royal …, 2019 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Despite continued efforts to improve health systems worldwide, emerging pathogen
epidemics remain a major public health concern. Effective response to such outbreaks relies …

[HTML][HTML] Mobility network models of COVID-19 explain inequities and inform reopening

S Chang, E Pierson, PW Koh, J Gerardin, B Redbird… - Nature, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic markedly changed human
mobility patterns, necessitating epidemiological models that can capture the effects of these …

[HTML][HTML] Modelling the COVID-19 epidemic and implementation of population-wide interventions in Italy

G Giordano, F Blanchini, R Bruno, P Colaneri… - Nature medicine, 2020 - nature.com
Abstract In Italy, 128,948 confirmed cases and 15,887 deaths of people who tested positive
for SARS-CoV-2 were registered as of 5 April 2020. Ending the global SARS-CoV-2 …

Modeling and forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic in India

K Sarkar, S Khajanchi, JJ Nieto - Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2020 - Elsevier
Abstract In India, 100,340 confirmed cases and 3155 confirmed deaths due to COVID-19
were reported as of May 18, 2020. Due to absence of specific vaccine or therapy, non …

Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV (COVID-19): early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic size estimates

JM Read, JRE Bridgen… - … of the Royal …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Since it was first identified, the epidemic scale of the recently emerged novel coronavirus
(2019-nCoV) in Wuhan, China, has increased rapidly, with cases arising across China and …

Estimation of the time-varying reproduction number of COVID-19 outbreak in China

C You, Y Deng, W Hu, J Sun, Q Lin, F Zhou… - International journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
Background The 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China has
attracted world-wide attention. As of March 31, 2020, a total of 82,631 cases of COVID-19 in …

Wastewater-based epidemiology predicts COVID-19-induced weekly new hospital admissions in over 150 USA counties

X Li, H Liu, L Gao, SP Sherchan, T Zhou… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Although the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) emergency status is easing, the COVID-19
pandemic continues to affect healthcare systems globally. It is crucial to have a reliable and …

Could masks curtail the post-lockdown resurgence of COVID-19 in the US?

CN Ngonghala, EA Iboi, AB Gumel - Mathematical biosciences, 2020 - Elsevier
The community lockdown measures implemented in the United States from late March to
late May of 2020 resulted in a significant reduction in the community transmission of the …

[HTML][HTML] Logistic growth modelling of COVID-19 proliferation in China and its international implications

CY Shen - International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2020 - Elsevier
Objective As the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues to proliferate
globally, this paper shares the findings of modelling the outbreak in China at both provincial …