ROC and PRC Approaches to Evaluate Recession Forecasts

K Lahiri, C Yang - Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2023 - Springer
We have studied the relationship between Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve
and Precision-Recall Curve (PRC) both analytically and using a real-life empirical example …

A tale of two recession-derivative indicators

K Lahiri, C Yang - Empirical Economics, 2023 - Springer
Two recession-derivative indicators (RDIs) have been used extensively as forecast objects
in business cycle prediction, viz.(1) the target variable takes value 1 if there is a recession …

Recession Signals and Business Cycle Dynamics: Tying the Pieces Together

MT Kiley - 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
Examining a parsimonious, yet comprehensive, set of recession signals yields three
lessons. First, signals from financial markets, leading indicators of activity, and gauges of the …

Impact of the Yield Spread on Economic Contraction in Pakistan: An Adverse Relationship

H Hina, H Ahsan, H Afzal - Journal of Finance and Accounting …, 2023 - ojs.umt.edu.pk
The yield spread has a positive association with future economic expansion, up to a certain
extent. An inverted yield curve is recognized as a potential indicator of economic contraction …

A head start on the employee market: an explorative research on how companies can deal with young employees' work values and expectations/Author Sebastian …

SMG Steger - 2023 - epub.jku.at
The lack of talent due to the shrinking population in Austria and Germany (Henschel et al.,
2008) increases the need of companies to strengthen its employer attractiveness. In order to …

[PDF][PDF] DAUGIAKRITERIŲ METODŲ TAIKYMAS KRIPTOVALIUTŲ ATRANKAI SUDARANT PORTFELĮ

G MARKUTĖ, G ŽILINSKIJ - 2023 - vilniustech.lt
Kriptovaliutų rinkos vertė 2022 m. pabaigoje siekė 800 mlrd. JAV dolerių. Rinkai sparčiai
augant ir bręstant, susidomėjimas investicijomis į kriptovaliutas padidėjo ne tik tarp privačių …

Sources of Fluctuations in Short-Term Yields and Recession Probabilities

A Ajello, L Benzoni, M Schwinn, Y Timmer… - Available at SSRN …, 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
Why does the short-term slope of the yield curve predict recessions? In this article, we
explore the economic forces underlying Treasury yields' fluctuations and highlight the roles …

[PDF][PDF] SETTING NEW RECORDS: IMPACTS ON CONSUMERS, SMALL BUSINESSES AND THE ECONOMY

RJ Lahm Jr, LG Perry III - Copyright 2023 by Institute for Global …, 2023 - researchgate.net
The US and global economy suffered greatly due COVID-19, with some small business
sectors and occupations faring worse than others. Debate exists as to whether we are in the …