[PDF][PDF] COSSAN: a multidisciplinary software suite for uncertainty quantification and risk management

E Patelli, R Ghanem, D Higdon… - Handbook of uncertainty …, 2016 - researchgate.net
Computer-aided modelling and simulation is now widely recognised as the third 'leg 'of
scientific method, alongside theory and experimentation. Many phenomena can be studied …

Robust data-driven human reliability analysis using credal networks

C Morais, HD Estrada-Lugo, S Tolo, T Jacques… - Reliability Engineering & …, 2022 - Elsevier
Despite increasing collection efforts of empirical human reliability data, the available
databases are still insufficient for understanding the relationships between human errors …

Uncertainty management in multidisciplinary design of critical safety systems

E Patelli, DA Alvarez, M Broggi, M Angelis - Journal of Aerospace …, 2015 - arc.aiaa.org
Managing the uncertainty in multidisciplinary design of safety-critical systems requires not
only the availability of a single approach or methodology to deal with uncertainty but a set of …

OpenCossan: An efficient open tool for dealing with epistemic and aleatory uncertainties

E Patelli, M Broggi, M Angelis, M Beer - … , Uncertainty, and Risk …, 2014 - ascelibrary.org
In this work, an integrated computational framework for uncertainty quantification and
management is presented. Dealing with uncertainty might lead to impractical computational …

[PDF][PDF] Surrogate models for uncertainty quantification in the context of imprecise probability modelling

R Schöbi - IBK Bericht, 2019 - research-collection.ethz.ch
Nowadays, computer simulations are a popular engineering tool to design systems of even
increasing complexity and to determine their performance. Theses simulations aim at …

A dependency bounds analysis method for reliability assessment of complex system with hybrid uncertainty

Y Song, J Mi, Y Cheng, L Bai, K Chen - Reliability Engineering & System …, 2020 - Elsevier
In reliability assessment, a difficulty is to handle a complex system with hybrid uncertainty
(aleatory and epistemic uncertainty) and dependency problem. Probability-box is a general …

Reliability assessment for failure‐dependent and uncertain systems: a Bayesian network based on copula method and probability‐box

Y Song, J Mi, Y Cheng, L Bai… - Quality and Reliability …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Managing failure dependence of complex systems with hybrid uncertainty is one of the hot
problems in reliability assessment. Epistemic uncertainty is attributed to complex working …

NASA uncertainty quantification challenge: an optimization-based methodology and validation

A Chaudhuri, G Waycaster, N Price… - Journal of Aerospace …, 2015 - arc.aiaa.org
The focus of this work is on uncertainty characterization, sensitivity analysis, uncertainty
propagation, and extreme-case analysis. To deal with the computationally expensive and …

Analytic probabilistic safety analysis under severe uncertainty

J Sadeghi, M De Angelis, E Patelli - ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk …, 2020 - ascelibrary.org
Exact analytic expressions are given to evaluate the reliability of systems consisting of
components, connected in parallel or series, subject to imprecise failure distributions. We …

Line sampling for assessing structural reliability with imprecise failure probabilities

M de Angelis, E Patelli, M Beer - Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk …, 2014 - ascelibrary.org
In this paper, a novel implementation of the Line Sampling method for computing imprecise
probabilities is presented. The model of uncertainty is generalised to include both aleatory …