The Mediterranean climate change hotspot in the CMIP5 and CMIP6 projections
The enhanced warming trend and precipitation decline in the Mediterranean region make it
a climate change hotspot. We compare projections of multiple Coupled Model …
a climate change hotspot. We compare projections of multiple Coupled Model …
Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence
The sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) constitutes the latest update on
expected future climate change based on a new generation of climate models. To extract …
expected future climate change based on a new generation of climate models. To extract …
Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble
Single model initial-condition large ensembles (SMILEs) are valuable tools that can be used
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …
to investigate the climate system. SMILEs allow scientists to quantify and separate the …
Climate model Selection by Independence, Performance, and Spread (ClimSIPS v1. 0.1) for regional applications
As the number of models in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) archives
increase from generation to generation, there is a pressing need for guidance on how to …
increase from generation to generation, there is a pressing need for guidance on how to …
Rarest rainfall events will see the greatest relative increase in magnitude under future climate change
Future rainfall extremes are projected to increase with global warming according to theory
and climate models, but common (annual) and rare (decennial or centennial) extremes …
and climate models, but common (annual) and rare (decennial or centennial) extremes …
Understanding and modelling wildfire regimes: an ecological perspective
SP Harrison, IC Prentice, KJ Bloomfield… - Environmental …, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
Recent extreme wildfire seasons in several regions have been associated with exceptionally
hot, dry conditions, made more probable by climate change. Much research has focused on …
hot, dry conditions, made more probable by climate change. Much research has focused on …
Comparisons between CMIP5 and CMIP6 models: Simulations of climate indices influencing food security, infrastructure resilience, and human health in Canada
SC Bourdeau‐Goulet, E Hassanzadeh - Earth's Future, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The warming climate can considerably affect socioeconomic activities and environmental
health conditions in Canada. Climate models play a key role in evaluating the impact of …
health conditions in Canada. Climate models play a key role in evaluating the impact of …
Bayesian weighting of climate models based on climate sensitivity
EC Massoud, HK Lee, A Terando… - Communications Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Using climate model ensembles containing members that exhibit very high climate
sensitivities to increasing CO2 concentrations can result in biased projections. Various …
sensitivities to increasing CO2 concentrations can result in biased projections. Various …
[HTML][HTML] Performance-based sub-selection of CMIP6 models for impact assessments in Europe
We have created a performance-based assessment of CMIP6 models for Europe that can be
used to inform the sub-selection of models for this region. Our assessment covers criteria …
used to inform the sub-selection of models for this region. Our assessment covers criteria …
More accurate quantification of model-to-model agreement in externally forced climatic responses over the coming century
Separating how model-to-model differences in the forced response (U MD) and internal
variability (U IV) contribute to the uncertainty in climate projections is important, but …
variability (U IV) contribute to the uncertainty in climate projections is important, but …