Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards
Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties,
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …
Probabilistic forecasting
T Gneiting, M Katzfuss - Annual Review of Statistics and Its …, 2014 - annualreviews.org
A probabilistic forecast takes the form of a predictive probability distribution over future
quantities or events of interest. Probabilistic forecasting aims to maximize the sharpness of …
quantities or events of interest. Probabilistic forecasting aims to maximize the sharpness of …
[PDF][PDF] 从汶川地震到芦山地震
陈运泰， 杨智娴， 张勇， 刘超 - 中国科学: 地球科学, 2013 - eq-igl.ac.cn
摘要本文概述作者在龙门山断裂带中, 小地震精确定位, 地震活动性以及2008 年汶川MW7. 9
(MS8. 0) 地震和2013 年芦山MW6. 7 (MS7. 0) 地震破裂过程等方面所做的研究工作 …
(MS8. 0) 地震和2013 年芦山MW6. 7 (MS7. 0) 地震破裂过程等方面所做的研究工作 …
Real-time discrimination of earthquake foreshocks and aftershocks
Immediately after a large earthquake, the main question asked by the public and decision-
makers is whether it was the mainshock or a foreshock to an even stronger event yet to …
makers is whether it was the mainshock or a foreshock to an even stronger event yet to …
Machine learning predicts laboratory earthquakes
We apply machine learning to data sets from shear laboratory experiments, with the goal of
identifying hidden signals that precede earthquakes. Here we show that by listening to the …
identifying hidden signals that precede earthquakes. Here we show that by listening to the …
Uniform California earthquake rupture forecast, version 3 (UCERF3)—The time‐independent model
EH Field, RJ Arrowsmith, GP Biasi… - Bulletin of the …, 2014 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP14)
present the time‐independent component of the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture …
present the time‐independent component of the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture …
[图书][B] The mechanics of earthquakes and faulting
CH Scholz - 2019 - books.google.com
This essential reference for graduate students and researchers provides a unified treatment
of earthquakes and faulting as two aspects of brittle tectonics at different timescales. The …
of earthquakes and faulting as two aspects of brittle tectonics at different timescales. The …
Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis at regional and national scales: State of the art and future challenges
Seismic hazard modeling is a multidisciplinary science that aims to forecast earthquake
occurrence and its resultant ground shaking. Such models consist of a probabilistic …
occurrence and its resultant ground shaking. Such models consist of a probabilistic …
Big data seismology
The discipline of seismology is based on observations of ground motion that are inherently
undersampled in space and time. Our basic understanding of earthquake processes and our …
undersampled in space and time. Our basic understanding of earthquake processes and our …
Long‐term time‐dependent probabilities for the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)
EH Field, GP Biasi, P Bird… - Bulletin of the …, 2015 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP 2014)
presents time‐dependent earthquake probabilities for the third Uniform California …
presents time‐dependent earthquake probabilities for the third Uniform California …