A gradient boosting method to improve travel time prediction

Y Zhang, A Haghani - Transportation Research Part C: Emerging …, 2015 - Elsevier
Tree based ensemble methods have reached a celebrity status in prediction field. By
combining simple regression trees with 'poor'performance, they usually produce high …

Adaptive Kalman filter approach for stochastic short-term traffic flow rate prediction and uncertainty quantification

J Guo, W Huang, BM Williams - Transportation Research Part C: Emerging …, 2014 - Elsevier
Short term traffic flow forecasting has received sustained attention for its ability to provide the
anticipatory traffic condition required for proactive traffic control and management. Recently …

Parallel architecture of convolutional bi-directional LSTM neural networks for network-wide metro ridership prediction

X Ma, J Zhang, B Du, C Ding… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2018 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Accurate metro ridership prediction can guide passengers in efficiently selecting their
departure time and transferring from station to station. An increasing number of deep …

A hybrid short-term traffic flow forecasting method based on spectral analysis and statistical volatility model

Y Zhang, Y Zhang, A Haghani - Transportation Research Part C: Emerging …, 2014 - Elsevier
Short-term traffic flow prediction is a critical aspect of Intelligent Transportation System.
Timely and accurate traffic forecasting results are necessary inputs for advanced traffic …

Subway passenger flow prediction for special events using smart card data

E Chen, Z Ye, C Wang, M Xu - IEEE Transactions on Intelligent …, 2019 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
In order to reduce passenger delays and prevent severe overcrowding in the subway
system, it is necessary to accurately predict the short-term passenger flow during special …

Using an ARIMA-GARCH modeling approach to improve subway short-term ridership forecasting accounting for dynamic volatility

C Ding, J Duan, Y Zhang, X Wu… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2017 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Subway short-term ridership forecasting plays an important role in intelligent transportation
systems. However, limited efforts have been made to forecast the subway short-term …

Uncertainty quantification of spatiotemporal travel demand with probabilistic graph neural networks

Q Wang, S Wang, D Zhuang… - IEEE Transactions …, 2024 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Recent studies have significantly improved the prediction accuracy of travel demand using
graph neural networks. However, these studies largely ignored uncertainty that inevitably …

Short-term traffic volume prediction by ensemble learning in concept drifting environments

J Xiao, Z Xiao, D Wang, J Bai, V Havyarimana… - Knowledge-Based …, 2019 - Elsevier
Because of the rapid changes in traffic conditions caused by various circumstances, such as
road construction and traffic jams, the distribution of the traffic volume data changes over …

Freight vehicle travel time prediction using gradient boosting regression tree

X Li, R Bai - 2016 15th IEEE International Conference on …, 2016 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
Travel time prediction is important for freight transportation companies. Accurate travel time
prediction can help these companies make better planning and task scheduling. For several …

Quantifying the uncertainty in long-term traffic prediction based on PI-ConvLSTM network

Y Li, S Chai, G Wang, X Zhang… - IEEE Transactions on …, 2022 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
This work proposes a novel uncertainty quantification framework for long-term traffic flow
prediction (TFP) based on a sequential deep learning model. Quantifying the uncertainty of …