[HTML][HTML] On the utility maximization of the discrepancy between a perceived and market implied risk neutral distribution

R Navratil, S Taylor, J Vecer - European Journal of Operational Research, 2022 - Elsevier
A method is developed to determine the portfolio that maximizes the expected utility of an
agent that trades the difference between a perceived future price distribution of an asset and …

Extraction of market expectations from risk-neutral density

J Arneric, Z Aljinović, T Poklepović - Zbornik radova Ekonomskog …, 2015 - papers.ssrn.com
The purpose of this paper is to investigate which of the proposed parametric models for
extracting risk-neutral density; among Black-Scholes Merton, mixture of two log-normals and …

Effective Markovian projection: application to CMS spread options and mid-curve swaptions

M Felpel, J Kienitz, TA McWalter - Quantitative Finance, 2022 - Taylor & Francis
Pricing of interest rate derivatives, such as CMS spread or mid-curve options, depends on
the modelling of the underlying single rates. For flexibility and realism, these rates are often …

[PDF][PDF] Non-structural approach to implied moments extraction

T Šestanović, J Arnerić, Z Aljinović - Economic research-Ekonomska …, 2018 - hrcak.srce.hr
Moments of future prices and returns are not observable, but it is possible to measure them
indirectly. A set of option prices with the same maturity but with different exercise prices are …

Asymmetric short-rate model without lower bound

F Vrins, L Wang - Quantitative Finance, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
We propose a new short-rate process which appropriately captures the salient features of
the negative interest rate environment. The model combines the advantages of the Vasicek …

[PDF][PDF] Measuring information flows in option markets: a relative entropy approach

E André, L Schneider, B Tavin - The Journal of Derivatives, 2023 - researchgate.net
In this paper, we propose a methodology for measuring the information flows that underpin
option price movements and for analyzing the distribution of these flows. We develop a …

[PDF][PDF] Moments Extraction from Implied Probability Distribution: Nonstructural Approach

T Poklepović, Z Aljinović, A Rozga - 2016 - diglib.natlib.lk
Quantifying economic uncertainty, ie an environment in which little or nothing is known
about the future state of the economy, poses a challenge to both market participants and …

[PDF][PDF] Procjena tržišnih očekivanja na temelju funkcije gustoće neutralne na rizik

J Arnerić, Z Aljinović, T Poklepović - Zbornik radova Ekonomskog …, 2015 - hrcak.srce.hr
The purpose of this paper is to investigate which of the proposed parametric models for
extracting risk-neutral density; among Black-Scholes Merton, mixture of two log-normals and …