Critical market crashes

D Sornette - Physics reports, 2003 - Elsevier
This review presents a general theory of financial crashes and of stock market instabilities
that his co-workers and the author have developed over the past seven years. We start by …

[图书][B] Why stock markets crash: critical events in complex financial systems

D Sornette - 2009 - degruyter.com
The scientific study of complex systems has transformed a wide range of disciplines in
recent years, enabling researchers in both the natural and social sciences to model and …

What drives economic growth across European countries? A multimodal approach

LM Batrancea, MA Balcı, Ö Akgüller, L Gaban - Mathematics, 2022 - mdpi.com
This research study examines the factors that determined economic growth measured by
gross domestic product, gross value added, final consumption expenditure of households …

Herding: An interdisciplinary integrative review from a socionomic perspective

WD Parker, RR Prechter - Available at SSRN 2009898, 2005 - papers.ssrn.com
Herding is one of the most important concepts in cognitive economics, especially as applied
to financial markets. This paper presents an interdisciplinary integrative literature review of …

Networks in financial markets based on the mutual information rate

P Fiedor - Physical Review E, 2014 - APS
In the last few years there have been many efforts in econophysics studying how network
theory can facilitate understanding of complex financial markets. These efforts consist mainly …

Testing the Pareto against the lognormal distributions with the uniformly most powerful unbiased test applied to the distribution of cities

Y Malevergne, V Pisarenko, D Sornette - Physical Review E—Statistical …, 2011 - APS
Fat-tail distributions of sizes abound in natural, physical, economic, and social systems. The
lognormal and the power laws have historically competed for recognition with sometimes …

Large stock market price drawdowns are outliers

A Johansen, D Sornette - arXiv preprint cond-mat/0010050, 2000 - arxiv.org
Drawdowns are essential aspects of risk assessment in investment management. They offer
a more natural measure of real market risks than the variance or other cumulants of daily (or …

Financial bubbles, real estate bubbles, derivative bubbles, and the financial and economic crisis

D Sornette, R Woodard - … approaches to large-scale business data and …, 2010 - Springer
The financial crisis of 2008, which started with an initially well-defined epicenter focused on
mortgage backed securities (MBS), has been cascading into a global economic recession …

Interpreting the movement of oil prices: driven by fundamentals or bubbles?

YJ Zhang, T Yao - Economic Modelling, 2016 - Elsevier
Based on the historical data of crude oil, diesel and gasoline markets during November
2001–December 2015, this paper employs the state-space model and log-periodic power …

The multiplex dependency structure of financial markets

N Musmeci, V Nicosia, T Aste, T Di Matteo… - …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
We propose here a multiplex network approach to investigate simultaneously different types
of dependency in complex datasets. In particular, we consider multiplex networks made of …