The dark side of Bitcoin: do Emerging Asian Islamic markets help subdue the ethical risk?

S Karim, BM Lucey, MA Naeem, SA Vigne - Emerging Markets Review, 2023 - Elsevier
Continuous financing of illicit activities (drug and human trafficking, child abuse,
cybercrimes) through Bitcoin nurtures the ethical risk of investors. Building on this argument …

Generalized autoregressive score models with applications

D Creal, SJ Koopman, A Lucas - Journal of Applied …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a class of observation‐driven time series models referred to as generalized
autoregressive score (GAS) models. The mechanism to update the parameters over time is …

Energy markets and green bonds: A tail dependence analysis with time-varying optimal copulas and portfolio implications

MA Naeem, E Bouri, MD Costa, N Naifar, SJH Shahzad - Resources Policy, 2021 - Elsevier
We examine the asymmetric and extreme tail dependence between five energy markets
(crude oil, natural gas, heating oil, gasoline, and coal) and green bonds using a time-varying …

A dynamic multivariate heavy-tailed model for time-varying volatilities and correlations

D Creal, SJ Koopman, A Lucas - Journal of Business & Economic …, 2011 - Taylor & Francis
We propose a new class of observation-driven time-varying parameter models for dynamic
volatilities and correlations to handle time series from heavy-tailed distributions. The model …

Information-theoretic optimality of observation-driven time series models for continuous responses

F Blasques, SJ Koopman, A Lucas - Biometrika, 2015 - academic.oup.com
We investigate information-theoretic optimality properties of the score function of the
predictive likelihood as a device for updating a real-valued time-varying parameter in a …

EGARCH models with fat tails, skewness and leverage

A Harvey, G Sucarrat - Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2014 - Elsevier
An EGARCH model in which the conditional distribution is heavy-tailed and skewed is
proposed. The properties of the model, including unconditional moments, autocorrelations …

A survey on time-varying copulas: specification, simulations, and application

H Manner, O Reznikova - Econometric reviews, 2012 - Taylor & Francis
The aim of this article is to bring together different specifications for copula models with time-
varying dependence structure. Copula models are widely used in financial econometrics …

Oil price risk exposure of BRIC stock markets and hedging effectiveness

SJH Shahzad, E Bouri, MU Rehman… - Annals of Operations …, 2022 - Springer
We study the tail dependence between crude oil and BRIC stock markets using a time-
varying optimal copula (TVOC) approach. We show evidence of multiple tail dependence …

Time‐varying transition probabilities for Markov regime switching models

M Bazzi, F Blasques, SJ Koopman… - Journal of Time Series …, 2017 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a new Markov switching model with time‐varying transitions probabilities. The
novelty of our model is that the transition probabilities evolve over time by means of an …

Count time series models

K Fokianos - Handbook of statistics, 2012 - Elsevier
We review regression models for count time series. We discuss the approach that is based
on generalized linear models and the class of integer autoregressive processes. The …