[HTML][HTML] Inference of epidemic dynamics in the COVID-19 era and beyond

A Cori, A Kucharski - Epidemics, 2024 - Elsevier
The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated the key role that epidemiology and modelling play
in analysing infectious threats and supporting decision making in real-time. Motivated by the …

How to avoid a local epidemic becoming a global pandemic

NC Stenseth, R Schlatte, X Liu… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
Here, we combine international air travel passenger data with a standard epidemiological
model of the initial 3 mo of the COVID-19 pandemic (January through March 2020; toward …

A useful parametric specification to model epidemiological data: Revival of the Richards' curve

MAQIDGQ Mingione… - Statistical Methods in …, 2024 - journals.sagepub.com
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12pt]?> A useful parametric specification for the expected value of an epidemiological …

Human behaviour, NPI and mobility reduction effects on COVID-19 transmission in different countries of the world

Z Mohammadi, MG Cojocaru, EW Thommes - BMC Public Health, 2022 - Springer
Abstract Background The outbreak of Coronavirus disease, which originated in Wuhan,
China in 2019, has affected the lives of billions of people globally. Throughout 2020, the …

Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?

KV Parag, RN Thompson… - Journal of the Royal …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
Abstract Summary statistics, often derived from simplified models of epidemic spread, inform
public health policy in real time. The instantaneous reproduction number, R t, is predominant …

EpiBeds: Data informed modelling of the COVID-19 hospital burden in England

CE Overton, L Pellis, HB Stage… - PLoS computational …, 2022 - journals.plos.org
The first year of the COVID-19 pandemic put considerable strain on healthcare systems
worldwide. In order to predict the effect of the local epidemic on hospital capacity in England …

A sequential Monte Carlo approach to estimate a time-varying reproduction number in infectious disease models: the Covid-19 case

G Storvik, A Diz-Lois Palomares… - Journal of the Royal …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
The Covid-19 pandemic has required most countries to implement complex sequences of
non-pharmaceutical interventions, with the aim of controlling the transmission of the virus in …

Instantaneous reproduction number and epidemic growth rate for predicting COVID-19 waves: the first 2 years of the pandemic in Spain

J Llorca, I Gómez-Acebo, J Alonso-Molero… - Frontiers in Public …, 2023 - frontiersin.org
Introduction Several indicators were employed to manage the COVID-19 pandemic. In this
study, our objective was to compare the instantaneous reproductive number and the …

Waiting list models must account for departures before treatment–Authors' reply

SA Shah, C Robertson, A Sheikh - The Lancet, 2024 - thelancet.com
Waiting list models must account for departures before treatment – Authors' reply
Page 1 Correspondence 432 www.thelancet.com Vol 404 August 3, 2024 less than 1, in …

Statistics in times of increasing uncertainty

S Richardson - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A …, 2022 - academic.oup.com
The statistical community mobilised vigorously from the start of the 2020 SARS-CoV-2
pandemic, following the RSS's long tradition of offering our expertise to help society tackle …