Examining the volatility of soybean market in the MIDAS framework: The importance of bagging-based weather information

L Wang, R Wu, WC Ma, W Xu - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2023 - Elsevier
Based on the close relationship between the global soybean market and weather variables,
current studies regarding soybean volatility forecasting under weather information are …

Text‐based soybean futures price forecasting: A two‐stage deep learning approach

W An, L Wang, YR Zeng - Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
This paper investigates the soybean futures price prediction problem from a new perspective
and proposes an effective prediction model named Two‐Stage Hybrid Long Short‐Term …

Development of a predictive model for agave prices employing environmental, economic, and social factors: towards a planned supply chain for agave-tequila industry

WM Warren-Vega, DE Aguilar-Hernández… - Foods, 2022 - mdpi.com
The interest of consumers to acquire Tequila has caused an increase in its sales. As
demand increases, the Tequila industry must obtain its raw material at a constant rate and …

Operational research insights on risk, resilience & dynamics of financial & economic systems

H Ben Ameur, E Clark, Z Ftiti, JL Prigent - Annals of Operations Research, 2024 - Springer
Our article offers insights on the role of operational research (OR) in understanding financial
and economic systems' risks and dynamics. It presents the latest methods in OR to address …

On the seasonality in the implied volatility of electricity options

V Fanelli, MD Schmeck - Quantitative Finance, 2019 - Taylor & Francis
Seasonality is an important topic in electricity markets, as both supply and demand are
dependent on the time of the year. Clearly, the level of prices shows a seasonal behaviour …

Market uncertainty and information content in complex seasonality of prices

W Tang, H Bu, Y Ji, Z Li - Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 2024 - Elsevier
In the context of heightened economic and financial market uncertainty, identifying and
measuring uncertainty has become an important research question. This study offers a novel …

Seasonality in commodity prices: new approaches for pricing plain vanilla options

C Frau, V Fanelli - Annals of Operations Research, 2024 - Springer
We present a new term-structure model for commodity futures prices based on Trolle and
Schwartz, which we extend by incorporating seasonal stochastic volatility represented with …

Capturing the power options smile by an additive two-factor model for overlapping futures prices

M Piccirilli, MD Schmeck, T Vargiolu - Energy Economics, 2021 - Elsevier
In this paper we introduce an additive two-factor model for electricity futures prices based on
Normal Inverse Gaussian Lévy processes, that fulfills a no-overlapping-arbitrage (NOA) …

An efficient unified approach for spread option pricing in a copula market model

E Berton, L Mercuri - Annals of Operations Research, 2024 - Springer
In this study, we propose a new formula for spread option pricing with the dependence of
two assets described by a copula function. The proposed method's advantage lies in its …

An iterative approach for obtaining a closed-form expansion for the conditional expectations of the extended Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process

N Thamrongrat, S Rujivan - Thai Journal of Mathematics, 2022 - thaijmath2.in.cmu.ac.th
In this paper, we develop an iterative approach for obtaining a closed-form expansion for the
conditional expectation of the valuation process, defined by\[V_ {t, T}:={e^{-\int_t^ T {g ({v_s}) …