Subjective beliefs are crucial for economic inference, yet behavior can challenge the
elicitation. We propose that belief elicitation should be incentive compatible not only …

This article documents the economic relevance of measuring cognitive uncertainty: people's
subjective uncertainty over their ex ante utility-maximizing decision. In a series of …

Evidence from social psychology suggests that agents process information about their own
ability in a biased manner. This evidence has motivated exciting research in behavioral …

Bayesian updating remains the benchmark for dynamic modeling under uncertainty within
economics. Recent theory and evidence suggest individuals may process information …

We use a series of experiments to understand whether and how people's beliefs about their
own abilities are biased relative to the Bayesian benchmark and how these beliefs then …

Belief elicitation is central to inference on economic decision making. The recently
introduced Binarized Scoring Rule (BSR) is heralded for its robustness to individuals …

A core principle in decision science is that people choose according to their subjective
values. These values are often measured using unincentivized scales with arbitrary units …

Are investors willing to give up a higher return if the investment generates positive
environmental impact? We investigate this question with a decision experiment among …

Do investors invest in green projects because they expect higher returns, to help the
environment, or to help other people? To separate these motivations, we run a decision …

How well do incentivized belief elicitation procedures work in online settings? We evaluate
the quality of beliefs elicited from online respondents, comparing several characteristics of …