Changing El Niño–Southern oscillation in a warming climate
Originating in the equatorial Pacific, the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has highly
consequential global impacts, motivating the need to understand its responses to …
consequential global impacts, motivating the need to understand its responses to …
On the essentials of drought in a changing climate
TR Ault - Science, 2020 - science.org
Droughts of the future are likely to be more frequent, severe, and longer lasting than they
have been in recent decades, but drought risks will be lower if greenhouse gas emissions …
have been in recent decades, but drought risks will be lower if greenhouse gas emissions …
Changing state of the climate system
2 Chapter 2 assesses observed large-scale changes in climate system drivers, key climate
indicators and 3 principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and …
indicators and 3 principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and …
Declining tropical cyclone frequency under global warming
Assessing the role of anthropogenic warming from temporally inhomogeneous historical
data in the presence of large natural variability is difficult and has caused conflicting …
data in the presence of large natural variability is difficult and has caused conflicting …
Human influence on the climate system (Chapter 3)
The AR5 concluded that human influence on the climate system is clear, evident from
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …
increasing greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere, positive radiative forcing …
Systematic climate model biases in the large‐scale patterns of recent sea‐surface temperature and sea‐level pressure change
Observed surface temperature trends over recent decades are characterized by (a)
intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern …
intensified warming in the Indo‐Pacific Warm Pool and slight cooling in the eastern …
Decadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific: Characteristics, causes, predictability, and prospects
BACKGROUND Tropical Pacific decadal climate variability and change (TPDV) affects the
global climate system, extreme weather events, agricultural production, streamflow, marine …
global climate system, extreme weather events, agricultural production, streamflow, marine …
On the future zonal contrasts of equatorial Pacific climate: Perspectives from Observations, Simulations, and Theories
Abstract Changes in the zonal gradients of sea surface temperature (SST) across the
equatorial Pacific have major consequences for global climate. Therefore, accurate future …
equatorial Pacific have major consequences for global climate. Therefore, accurate future …
Wetting and drying trends under climate change
The geography and timing of changes in water availability under climate change are of
considerable societal interest. Characterizing these changes in a robust and meaningful …
considerable societal interest. Characterizing these changes in a robust and meaningful …
[HTML][HTML] Persistent discrepancies between observed and modeled trends in the tropical Pacific Ocean
The trends over recent decades in tropical Pacific sea surface and upper ocean temperature
are examined in observations-based products, an ocean reanalysis and the latest models …
are examined in observations-based products, an ocean reanalysis and the latest models …