[HTML][HTML] Tipping point detection and early warnings in climate, ecological, and human systems

V Dakos, CA Boulton, JE Buxton… - Earth System …, 2024 - esd.copernicus.org
Tipping points characterize the situation when a system experiences abrupt, rapid, and
sometimes irreversible changes in response to only a gradual change in environmental …

DAMP-ING IBD: Extinguish the fire and prevent smoldering

O Sandys, PCF Stokkers, AA Te Velde - Digestive Diseases and Sciences, 2024 - Springer
In inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD), the most promising therapies targeting cytokines or
immune cell trafficking demonstrate around 40% efficacy. As IBD is a multifactorial …

Early warning signals have limited applicability to empirical lake data

DA O'Brien, S Deb, G Gal, SJ Thackeray… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Research aimed at identifying indicators of persistent abrupt shifts in ecological
communities, aka regime shifts, has led to the development of a suite of early warning …

Early detection of thermoacoustic instability in a solid rocket motor: A generative adversarial network approach with limited data

G Xu, B Wang, Y Guan, Z Wang, P Liu - Applied Energy, 2024 - Elsevier
Thermoacoustic instability (TAI) poses a significant challenge to the development of solid
rocket motor (SRM) and detecting early warning signals (EWS) for TAI is crucial. Deep …

Predicting discrete-time bifurcations with deep learning

TM Bury, D Dylewsky, CT Bauch, M Anand… - Nature …, 2023 - nature.com
Many natural and man-made systems are prone to critical transitions—abrupt and potentially
devastating changes in dynamics. Deep learning classifiers can provide an early warning …

An early warning indicator trained on stochastic disease-spreading models with different noises

AK Chakraborty, S Gao, R Miry… - Journal of the …, 2024 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The timely detection of disease outbreaks through reliable early warning signals (EWSs) is
indispensable for effective public health mitigation strategies. Nevertheless, the intricate …

Tracking the distance to criticality in systems with unknown noise

B Harris, LL Gollo, BD Fulcher - Physical Review X, 2024 - APS
Many real-world systems undergo abrupt changes in dynamics as they move across critical
points, often with dramatic and irreversible consequences. Much existing theory on …

EWSmethods: an R package to forecast tipping points at the community level using early warning signals, resilience measures, and machine learning models

DA O'Brien, S Deb, S Sidheekh, NC Krishnan… - …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Early warning signals (EWSs) represent a potentially universal tool for identifying whether a
system is approaching a tipping point, and have been applied in fields including ecology …

FateNet: an integration of dynamical systems and deep learning for cell fate prediction

M Sadria, TM Bury - Bioinformatics, 2024 - academic.oup.com
Motivation Understanding cellular decision-making, particularly its timing and impact on the
biological system such as tissue health and function, is a fundamental challenge in biology …

Universal early warning signals of phase transitions in climate systems

D Dylewsky, TM Lenton, M Scheffer… - Journal of the …, 2023 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The potential for complex systems to exhibit tipping points in which an equilibrium state
undergoes a sudden and often irreversible shift is well established, but prediction of these …