[HTML][HTML] Sexual health influencer distribution of HIV/syphilis self-tests among men who have sex with men in China: secondary analysis to inform community-based …
Background Social network–based strategies can expand HIV/syphilis self-tests among men
who have sex with men (MSM). Sexual health influencers are individuals who are …
who have sex with men (MSM). Sexual health influencers are individuals who are …
[HTML][HTML] Nowcasting and forecasting the 2022 US Mpox outbreak: support for public health decision making and lessons learned
In June of 2022, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Mpox Response
wanted timely answers to important epidemiological questions which can now be answered …
wanted timely answers to important epidemiological questions which can now be answered …
[HTML][HTML] Interests, motives, and psychological burdens in times of crisis and lockdown: Google trends analysis to inform policy makers
Background In the face of the COVID-19 pandemic, the German government and the 16
German federal states implemented a variety of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to …
German federal states implemented a variety of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to …
[HTML][HTML] Rapid assessment of the risk of SARS-CoV-2 importation: case study and lessons learned
During the early stages of an emerging disease outbreak, governments are required to
make critical decisions on how to respond, despite limited data being available to inform …
make critical decisions on how to respond, despite limited data being available to inform …
Temporal variations in international air travel: implications for modelling the spread of infectious diseases
Background The international flight network creates multiple routes by which pathogens can
quickly spread across the globe. In the early stages of infectious disease outbreaks …
quickly spread across the globe. In the early stages of infectious disease outbreaks …
[HTML][HTML] A measure to estimate the risk of imported COVID-19 cases and its application for evaluating travel-related control measures
High connectivity between nations facilitates the spread of infectious diseases. We introduce
an improved measure to estimate the risk of COVID-19 importation. The measure was …
an improved measure to estimate the risk of COVID-19 importation. The measure was …
[HTML][HTML] A multi-type branching process model for epidemics with application to COVID-19
AK Laha, S Majumdar - Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk …, 2023 - Springer
In this paper we model an infectious disease epidemic using Multi-type Branching Process
where the number of offsprings of different types follow non-identical Poisson distributions …
where the number of offsprings of different types follow non-identical Poisson distributions …
[HTML][HTML] A Method of Estimating Time-to-Recovery for a Disease Caused by a Contagious Pathogen Such as SARS-CoV-2 Using a Time Series of Aggregated Case …
During the outbreak of a disease caused by a pathogen with unknown characteristics, the
uncertainty of its progression parameters can be reduced by devising methods that, based …
uncertainty of its progression parameters can be reduced by devising methods that, based …
Epidemiological methods to evaluate the early impact of the COVID-19 pandemic.
A Quigley - 2023 - unsworks.unsw.edu.au
On December 31, 2019, China reported a cluster of pneumonia cases of unknown etiology,
in Wuhan, Hubei Province1. Although extraordinary prevention and control measures were …
in Wuhan, Hubei Province1. Although extraordinary prevention and control measures were …
A Modelling Framework for Estimating the Risk of Importation of a Novel Disease
AM Parrella - 2023 - digital.library.adelaide.edu.au
Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are vital in fitting models, without a tractable
likelihood, to data. When combined with Markov Chain Monte Carlo, SMC allows for full …
likelihood, to data. When combined with Markov Chain Monte Carlo, SMC allows for full …