[HTML][HTML] Prediction of the Madden–Julian oscillation: A review

H Kim, F Vitart, DE Waliser - Journal of Climate, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Prediction of the Madden–Julian Oscillation: A Review in: Journal of Climate Volume 31
Issue 23 (2018) Jump to Content Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo Logo JOURNALS Artificial …

Uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: Toward an integrated data assimilation framework

Y Liu, HV Gupta - Water resources research, 2007 - Wiley Online Library
Despite significant recent developments in computational power and distributed hydrologic
modeling, the issue of how to adequately address the uncertainty associated with …

[HTML][HTML] The North American multimodel ensemble: phase-1 seasonal-to-interannual prediction; phase-2 toward developing intraseasonal prediction

BP Kirtman, D Min, JM Infanti, JL Kinter… - Bulletin of the …, 2014 - journals.ametsoc.org
Berner, J., FJ Doblas-Reyes, TN Palmer, G. Shutts, and A. Weisheimer, 2008: Impact of a
quasi-stochastic cellular automaton backscatter scheme on the systematic error and …

[图书][B] Forecast verification: a practitioner's guide in atmospheric science

IT Jolliffe, DB Stephenson - 2012 - books.google.com
Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an
indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a …

Areas beneath the relative operating characteristics (ROC) and relative operating levels (ROL) curves: Statistical significance and interpretation

SJ Mason, NE Graham - … of the Royal Meteorological Society: A …, 2002 - Wiley Online Library
The areas beneath the relative (or receiver) operating characteristics (ROC) and relative
operating levels (ROL) curves can be used as summary measures of forecast quality, but …

Advancing data assimilation in operational hydrologic forecasting: progresses, challenges, and emerging opportunities

Y Liu, AH Weerts, M Clark… - Hydrology and earth …, 2012 - hess.copernicus.org
Data assimilation (DA) holds considerable potential for improving hydrologic predictions as
demonstrated in numerous research studies. However, advances in hydrologic DA research …

[HTML][HTML] Calculation of average, uncertainty range, and reliability of regional climate changes from AOGCM simulations via the “reliability ensemble averaging”(REA) …

F Giorgi, LO Mearns - Journal of climate, 2002 - journals.ametsoc.org
Calculation of Average, Uncertainty Range, and Reliability of Regional Climate Changes
from AOGCM Simulations via the “Reliability Ensemble Averaging” (REA) Method in …

Development of a European multimodel ensemble system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction (DEMETER)

TN Palmer, A Alessandri, U Andersen… - Bulletin of the …, 2004 - journals.ametsoc.org
A multi-model ensemble-based system for seasonal-to-interannual prediction has been
developed in a joint European project known as DEMETER (Development of a European …

An empirical seasonal prediction model of the East Asian summer monsoon using ENSO and NAO

Z Wu, B Wang, J Li, FF Jin - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
How to predict the year‐to‐year variation of the east Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is one
of the most challenging and important tasks in climate prediction. It has been recognized that …

Current status of ENSO prediction skill in coupled ocean–atmosphere models

EK Jin, JL Kinter, B Wang, CK Park, IS Kang… - Climate Dynamics, 2008 - Springer
The overall skill of ENSO prediction in retrospective forecasts made with ten different
coupled GCMs is investigated. The coupled GCM datasets of the APCC/CliPAS and …