[HTML][HTML] Why so many published sensitivity analyses are false: A systematic review of sensitivity analysis practices

A Saltelli, K Aleksankina, W Becker, P Fennell… - … modelling & software, 2019 - Elsevier
Sensitivity analysis provides information on the relative importance of model input
parameters and assumptions. It is distinct from uncertainty analysis, which addresses the …

[HTML][HTML] Sources of hydrological model uncertainties and advances in their analysis

E Moges, Y Demissie, L Larsen, F Yassin - Water, 2021 - mdpi.com
Water | Free Full-Text | Review: Sources of Hydrological Model Uncertainties and Advances
in Their Analysis Next Article in Journal Assessing the Influence of Compounding Factors to …

How to treat uncertainties in life cycle assessment studies?

E Igos, E Benetto, R Meyer, P Baustert… - The International Journal …, 2019 - Springer
Purpose The use of life cycle assessment (LCA) as a decision support tool can be hampered
by the numerous uncertainties embedded in the calculation. The treatment of uncertainty is …

Models with higher effective dimensions tend to produce more uncertain estimates

A Puy, P Beneventano, SA Levin, S Lo Piano… - Science …, 2022 - science.org
Mathematical models are getting increasingly detailed to better predict phenomena or gain
more accurate insights into the dynamics of a system of interest, even when there are no …

Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy

MG Morgan - Proceedings of the National academy of …, 2014 - National Acad Sciences
The elicitation of scientific and technical judgments from experts, in the form of subjective
probability distributions, can be a valuable addition to other forms of evidence in support of …

Selecting among five common modelling approaches for integrated environmental assessment and management

RA Kelly, AJ Jakeman, O Barreteau, ME Borsuk… - … modelling & software, 2013 - Elsevier
The design and implementation of effective environmental policies need to be informed by a
holistic understanding of the system processes (biophysical, social and economic), their …

Climate adaptation as a control problem: Review and perspectives on dynamic water resources planning under uncertainty

JD Herman, JD Quinn, S Steinschneider… - Water Resources …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Climate change introduces substantial uncertainty to water resources planning and raises
the key question: when, or under what conditions, should adaptation occur? A number of …

[图书][B] Rainfall-runoff modelling: the primer

KJ Beven - 2012 - books.google.com
Rainfall-Runoff Modelling: The Primer, Second Edition is the follow-up of this popular and
authoritative text, first published in 2001. The book provides both a primer for the novice and …

3-D Structural geological models: Concepts, methods, and uncertainties

F Wellmann, G Caumon - Advances in geophysics, 2018 - Elsevier
The Earth below ground is the subject of interest for many geophysical as well as geological
investigations. Even though most practitioners would agree that all available information …

Understanding predictive uncertainty in hydrologic modeling: The challenge of identifying input and structural errors

B Renard, D Kavetski, G Kuczera… - Water Resources …, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
Meaningful quantification of data and structural uncertainties in conceptual rainfall‐runoff
modeling is a major scientific and engineering challenge. This paper focuses on the total …