Stratospheric drivers of extreme events at the Earth's surface

DIV Domeisen, AH Butler - Communications Earth & Environment, 2020 - nature.com
The stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere at heights between 10-50 km, is an important
source of variability for the weather and climate at the Earth's surface on timescales of weeks …

Impacts, processes and projections of the quasi-biennial oscillation

JA Anstey, SM Osprey, J Alexander… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2022 - nature.com
In the tropical stratosphere, deep layers of eastward and westward winds encircle the globe
and descend regularly from the upper stratosphere to the tropical tropopause. With a …

The influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation on the Madden–Julian oscillation

Z Martin, SW Son, A Butler, H Hendon, H Kim… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
The stratospheric quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and the tropospheric Madden–Julian
oscillation (MJO) are strongly linked in boreal winter. In this Review, we synthesize …

Long-range prediction and the stratosphere

AA Scaife, MP Baldwin, AH Butler… - Atmospheric …, 2022 - acp.copernicus.org
Over recent years there have been concomitant advances in the development of
stratosphere-resolving numerical models, our understanding of stratosphere–troposphere …

[HTML][HTML] The role of North Atlantic–European weather regimes in the surface impact of sudden stratospheric warming events

DIV Domeisen, CM Grams… - Weather and Climate …, 2020 - wcd.copernicus.org
Sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events can significantly impact tropospheric weather
for a period of several weeks, in particular in the North Atlantic–European (NAE) region …

Preindustrial control simulations with HadGEM3‐GC3. 1 for CMIP6

MB Menary, T Kuhlbrodt, J Ridley… - Journal of Advances …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Preindustrial control simulations with the third Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model,
run in the Global Coupled configuration 3.1 of the Met Office Unified Model (HadGEM3 …

The influence of the stratosphere on the tropical troposphere

P Haynes, P Hitchcock, M Hitchman… - Journal of the …, 2021 - jstage.jst.go.jp
Observational and model studies suggest that the stratosphere exerts a significant influence
on the tropical troposphere. The corresponding influence, through dynamical coupling, of …

Prospect of increased disruption to the QBO in a changing climate

JA Anstey, TP Banyard, N Butchart… - Geophysical …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The quasi‐biennial oscillation (QBO) of tropical stratospheric winds was disrupted during the
2019/20 Northern Hemisphere winter. We show that this latest disruption to the regular QBO …

The January 2021 sudden stratospheric warming and its prediction in subseasonal to seasonal models

J Rao, CI Garfinkel, T Wu, Y Lu, Q Lu… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Using reanalysis, observations, and subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts, the most
recent sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) in January 2021 and its predictability are …

Teleconnections of the quasi‐biennial oscillation in a multi‐model ensemble of QBO‐resolving models

JA Anstey, IR Simpson, JH Richter… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Abstract The Quasi‐biennial Oscillation (QBO) dominates the interannual variability of the
tropical stratosphere and influences other regions of the atmosphere. The high predictability …