Forecasting value-at-risk with time-varying variance, skewness and kurtosis in an exponential weighted moving average framework

A Gabrielsen, A Kirchner, Z Liu… - Annals of Financial …, 2015 - World Scientific
This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution
of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average (EWMA) …

Dynamics of credit spread moments of European corporate bond indexes

AH Alizadeh, A Gabrielsen - Journal of Banking & Finance, 2013 - Elsevier
Traditional quantitative credit risk models assume that changes in credit spreads are
normally distributed but empirical evidence shows that they are likely to be skewed, fat …

[PDF][PDF] Markov switching GARCH diffusion

C Alexander, E Lazaar - ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance, 2008 - academia.edu
Abstract § GARCH option pricing models have the advantage of a well-established
econometric foundation. However, multiple states need to be introduced as single state …

[PDF][PDF] Estimation methods of the Markov switching GARCH models for forecasting exchange rate volatility

EB Nkemnole, AP Ebomese - 2019 - academia.edu
The Markov switching GARCH model offers rich dynamics to modelling financial data.
Estimating this path dependence model is a challenging task because exact computation of …

[引用][C] 股票市场资产收益的跳跃行为研究

陈浪南, 孙坚强 - 经济研究, 2010

A Study of Conditional Volatilities in Financial Markets using Generalized Conditional Heteroscedasticity Jump Models

BO Odusami - 2006 - scholarworks.uno.edu
In this manuscript, I investigate the time-varying volatilities and co-volatilities in the fixed
income and equities market using jump augmented stochastic volatility models. The results …

[引用][C] FORECASTING VOLATILITY OF EUROPEAN AND. ASIAN EQUITY INDICES WITH HANSEN'S SKEW-T AND FAT TAILED DISTRIBUTIONS, AS WELL AS …

A GABRIELSEN, S SARMPEZOUDIS - International Journal of Economic Research, 2012

[引用][C] The VARLINEX Model Extended: Accurate Value-at-Risk Forecasts During the 2008-09 Market Crash

M McCausland - 2010