Species distribution models rarely predict the biology of real populations

J A. Lee‐Yaw, J L. McCune, S Pironon, S N. Sheth - Ecography, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models (SDMs) are widely used in ecology. In theory, SDMs capture (at
least part of) species' ecological niches and can be used to make inferences about the …

Mechanistic forecasts of species responses to climate change: the promise of biophysical ecology

NJ Briscoe, SD Morris, PD Mathewson… - Global Change …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
A core challenge in global change biology is to predict how species will respond to future
environmental change and to manage these responses. To make such predictions and …

Measuring terrestrial area of habitat (AOH) and its utility for the IUCN Red List

TM Brooks, SL Pimm, HR Akçakaya… - Trends in ecology & …, 2019 - cell.com
The International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species
includes assessment of extinction risk for 98 512 species, plus documentation of their range …

Lags in the response of mountain plant communities to climate change

JM Alexander, L Chalmandrier, J Lenoir… - Global change …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Rapid climatic changes and increasing human influence at high elevations around the world
will have profound impacts on mountain biodiversity. However, forecasts from statistical …

The impact of climate change and variability on coffee production: a systematic review

Y Pham, K Reardon-Smith, S Mushtaq, G Cockfield - Climatic Change, 2019 - Springer
Coffee is one of the most important globally traded commodities and substantially
contributes to the livelihoods of millions of smallholders worldwide. As a climate-sensitive …

Forest tree species adaptation to climate across biomes: Building on the legacy of ecological genetics to anticipate responses to climate change

L Leites, M Benito Garzón - Global Change Biology, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Intraspecific variation plays a critical role in extant and future forest responses to climate
change. Forest tree species with wide climatic niches rely on the intraspecific variation …

Biotic interactions in species distribution modelling: 10 questions to guide interpretation and avoid false conclusions

CF Dormann, M Bobrowski, DM Dehling… - Global ecology and …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Recent studies increasingly use statistical methods to infer biotic interactions from co‐
occurrence information at a large spatial scale. However, disentangling biotic interactions …

Incorporating local adaptation into forecasts of species' distribution and abundance under climate change

ML DeMarche, DF Doak, WF Morris - Global Change Biology, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Populations of many species are genetically adapted to local historical climate conditions.
Yet most forecasts of species' distributions under climate change have ignored local …

Forecasting species range dynamics with process‐explicit models: matching methods to applications

NJ Briscoe, J Elith, R Salguero‐Gómez… - Ecology …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Knowing where species occur is fundamental to many ecological and environmental
applications. Species distribution models (SDMs) are typically based on correlations …

Uncovering ecological state dynamics with hidden Markov models

BT McClintock, R Langrock, O Gimenez, E Cam… - Ecology …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Ecological systems can often be characterised by changes among a finite set of underlying
states pertaining to individuals, populations, communities or entire ecosystems through time …