Megadroughts in the Common Era and the Anthropocene
Exceptional drought events, known as megadroughts, have occurred on every continent
outside Antarctica over the past~ 2,000 years, causing major ecological and societal …
outside Antarctica over the past~ 2,000 years, causing major ecological and societal …
Mechanisms and impacts of Earth system tipping elements
Tipping elements are components of the Earth system which may respond nonlinearly to
anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long‐term …
anthropogenic climate change by transitioning toward substantially different long‐term …
Assessment of CMIP6 performance and projected temperature and precipitation changes over South America
M Almazroui, M Ashfaq, MN Islam, IU Rashid… - Earth Systems and …, 2021 - Springer
We evaluate the performance of a large ensemble of Global Climate Models (GCMs) from
the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) over South America for a …
the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) over South America for a …
Increased climate pressure on the agricultural frontier in the Eastern Amazonia–Cerrado transition zone
Several large-scale drivers of both anthropogenic and natural environmental changes are
interacting nonlinearly in the transition zone between eastern Amazonia and the adjacent …
interacting nonlinearly in the transition zone between eastern Amazonia and the adjacent …
Recurrent droughts increase risk of cascading tipping events by outpacing adaptive capacities in the Amazon rainforest
Tipping elements are nonlinear subsystems of the Earth system that have the potential to
abruptly shift to another state if environmental change occurs close to a critical threshold …
abruptly shift to another state if environmental change occurs close to a critical threshold …
Quantifying the uncertainty sources of future climate projections and narrowing uncertainties with bias correction techniques
Decomposing the uncertainty of global climate models is highly instructive in understanding
climate change. However, it remains unclear whether sources of uncertainty have changed …
climate change. However, it remains unclear whether sources of uncertainty have changed …
What does global land climate look like at 2° C warming?
Constraining an increase in global mean temperature below 2° C compared to pre‐
industrial levels is critical to limiting dangerous and cascading impacts of anthropogenic …
industrial levels is critical to limiting dangerous and cascading impacts of anthropogenic …
Climate change-related risks and adaptation potential in Central and South America during the 21st century
I Hagen, C Huggel, L Ramajo, N Chacón… - Environmental …, 2022 - iopscience.iop.org
Climate-related risks in Central and South America have received increased attention and
concern in science and policy, but an up-to-date comprehensive review and synthesis of …
concern in science and policy, but an up-to-date comprehensive review and synthesis of …
Drylands face potential threat of robust drought in the CMIP6 SSPs scenarios
H Li, Z Li, Y Chen, Y Xiang, Y Liu… - Environmental …, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
In an increasingly globalized and warming world, drought can have devastating impacts on
regional agriculture, water resources, and the ecological environment. Reliable prediction of …
regional agriculture, water resources, and the ecological environment. Reliable prediction of …
Theoretical and paleoclimatic evidence for abrupt transitions in the Earth system
Specific components of the Earth system may abruptly change their state in response to
gradual changes in forcing. This possibility has attracted great scientific interest in recent …
gradual changes in forcing. This possibility has attracted great scientific interest in recent …