Rational inattention: A review

B Maćkowiak, F Matějka, M Wiederholt - Journal of Economic Literature, 2023 - aeaweb.org
We review the recent literature on rational inattention, identify the main theoretical
mechanisms, and explain how it helps us understand a variety of phenomena across fields …

Imperfect macroeconomic expectations: Evidence and theory

GM Angeletos, Z Huo, KA Sastry - NBER Macroeconomics …, 2021 - journals.uchicago.edu
The rational expectations hypothesis is a bedrock of modern macroeconomics. It is often
combined with a strong, complementary hypothesis that all data about the state of the …

A behavioral New Keynesian model

X Gabaix - American Economic Review, 2020 - aeaweb.org
This paper analyzes how bounded rationality affects monetary and fiscal policy via an
empirically relevant enrichment of the New Keynesian model. It models agents' partial …

Exposure to grocery prices and inflation expectations

F D'Acunto, U Malmendier, J Ospina… - Journal of Political …, 2021 - journals.uchicago.edu
Consumers rely on the price changes of goods in their grocery bundles when forming
expectations about aggregate inflation. We use micro data that uniquely match individual …

FBBVA Lecture 2020 Exposure, Experience, and Expertise: Why Personal Histories Matter in Economics

U Malmendier - Journal of the European Economic Association, 2021 - academic.oup.com
Personal experiences of economic outcomes, from global financial crises to individual-level
job losses, can shape individual beliefs, risk attitudes, and choices for years to come. A …

Forward guidance without common knowledge

GM Angeletos, C Lian - American Economic Review, 2018 - aeaweb.org
How does the economy respond to news about future policies or future fundamentals?
Standard practice assumes that agents have common knowledge of such news and face no …

House price beliefs and mortgage leverage choice

M Bailey, E Dávila, T Kuchler… - The Review of Economic …, 2019 - academic.oup.com
We study the relationship between homebuyers' beliefs about future house price changes
and their mortgage leverage choices. Whether more pessimistic homebuyers choose higher …

Behavioral and experimental macroeconomics and policy analysis: A complex systems approach

C Hommes - Journal of Economic Literature, 2021 - aeaweb.org
This survey discusses behavioral and experimental macroeconomics, emphasizing a
complex systems perspective. The economy consists of boundedly rational heterogeneous …

Quantifying confidence

GM Angeletos, F Collard, H Dellas - Econometrica, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
We develop a tractable method for augmenting macroeconomic models with autonomous
variation in higher‐order beliefs. We use this to accommodate a certain type of waves of …

Long-Term Expectations and Aggregate Fluctuations

P Bordalo, N Gennaioli, RL Porta… - NBER …, 2024 - journals.uchicago.edu
The stock market is volatile, as is aggregate economic activity, and the two are connected. At
least since Burns and Mitchell (1938), we know that measures of investment and production …