This article contains a discussion of the elusive nature of the concept of randomness, a
review of findings from experiments with randomness production and randomness …

The authors review research on judgments of random and nonrandom sequences involving
binary events with a focus on studies documenting gambler's fallacy and hot hand beliefs …

Midbrain dopamine neurons are well known for their role in reward-based reinforcement
learning. We found that the activity of dopamine axons in the posterior tail of the striatum …

Od Yogiego Berry do Henriego Poincarégo Rozdział 10: SKANDAL PROGNOZOWANIA O
niesprecyzowanej liczbie kochanków carycy Katarzyny Powrót ślepoty na Czarne Łabędzie …

За одно только последнее десятилетие человечество пережило ряд тяжелейших
катастроф, потрясений и катаклизмов, не укладывающихся в рамки самых …

Game theory, the formalized study of strategy, began in the 1940s by asking how
emotionless geniuses should play games, but ignored until recently how average people …

We find consistent evidence of negative autocorrelation in decision making that is unrelated
to the merits of the cases considered in three separate high-stakes field settings: refugee …

Martin Smith explores a question central to philosophy--namely, what does it take for a belief
to be justified or rational? According to a widespread view, whether one has justification for …

People exaggerate the degree to which small samples resemble the population from which
they are drawn. To model this belief in the “Law of Small Numbers,” I assume that a person …