Prediction and projection of heatwaves

DIV Domeisen, EAB Eltahir, EM Fischer… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2023 - nature.com
Heatwaves constitute a major threat to human health and ecosystems. Projected increases
in heatwave frequency and severity thus lead to the need for prediction to enhance …

Atmospheric blocking and weather extremes over the Euro-Atlantic sector–a review

LA Kautz, O Martius, S Pfahl, JG Pinto… - Weather and Climate …, 2021 - wcd.copernicus.org
The physical understanding and timely prediction of extreme weather events are of
enormous importance to society due to their associated impacts. In this article, we highlight …

Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards

B Merz, C Kuhlicke, M Kunz, M Pittore… - Reviews of …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties,
and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude …

Processes determining heat waves across different European climates

P Zschenderlein, AH Fink, S Pfahl… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
This study presents a comprehensive analysis of processes determining heat waves across
different climates in Europe for the period 1979–2016. Heat waves are defined using a …

The 2018 summer heatwaves over northwestern Europe and its extended-range prediction

MT Kueh, CY Lin - Scientific reports, 2020 - nature.com
This study investigated the drivers and extended-range prediction of the mid-July to early
August 2018 heatwaves over northwestern Europe, focusing on regional heatwave events …

A new mathematical framework for atmospheric blocking events

V Lucarini, A Gritsun - Climate Dynamics, 2020 - Springer
We use a simple yet Earth-like hemispheric atmospheric model to propose a new framework
for the mathematical properties of blocking events. Using finite-time Lyapunov exponents …

Linking Northern Hemisphere temperature extremes to Rossby wave packets

G Fragkoulidis, V Wirth, P Bossmann… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
This work investigates the statistical linkage between upper‐tropospheric transient Rossby
wave packets (RWPs) and lower‐tropospheric temperature extremes in the Northern …

Recurrent Rossby wave packets modulate the persistence of dry and wet spells across the globe

SM Ali, O Martius… - Geophysical Research …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Persistent dry and wet spells can arise from stationary weather situations or recurrent flow
patterns and result in significant socio‐economic impacts. Here, we study the effects of …

Visualizing confidence in cluster-based ensemble weather forecast analyses

A Kumpf, B Tost, M Baumgart, M Riemer… - IEEE transactions on …, 2017 - ieeexplore.ieee.org
In meteorology, cluster analysis is frequently used to determine representative trends in
ensemble weather predictions in a selected spatio-temporal region, eg, to reduce a set of …

Relationship between atmospheric blocking and warm‐season thunderstorms over western and central Europe

S Mohr, J Wandel, S Lenggenhager… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
A statistically significant link is presented between atmospheric blocking located over the
eastern North Atlantic and northern Europe and warm‐season thunderstorm activity over …