Validation of 40 year multimodel seasonal precipitation forecasts: The role of ENSO on the global skill

R Manzanas, MD Frías, AS Cofiño… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
The skill of seasonal precipitation forecasts is assessed worldwide—grid point by grid point—
for the 40 year period 1961–2000, considering the ENSEMBLES multimodel hindcast and …

Operational hydrologic forecast system in Russia

S Borsch, Y Simonov - Flood Forecasting, 2016 - Elsevier
A wide variety of geographical conditions in Russia lead to almost all kinds of flood origin—
from snowmelt floods in spring to flash floods in mountains and ice-jam floods in Siberia …

[PDF][PDF] Долгосрочные метеорологические прогнозы в Гидрометцентре России

РМ Вильфанд, РБ Зарипов, ДБ Киктев… - …, 2019 - lib-hmc.meteocom.ru
Рассматриваются основные методы прогноза, используемые в оперативной практике
Гидрометцентра России. Подчеркивается особая роль развития и совершенствования …

Skill assessment of Copernicus climate change service seasonal ensemble precipitation forecasts over Iran

M Nobakht, B Saghafian, S Aminyavari - Advances in Atmospheric …, 2021 - Springer
Medium to long-term precipitation forecasting plays a pivotal role in water resource
management and development of warning systems. Recently, the Copernicus Climate …

Seasonal climate prediction for North Eurasia

VN Kryjov - Environmental Research Letters, 2012 - iopscience.iop.org
An overview of the current status of the operational seasonal climate prediction for North
Eurasia is presented. It is shown that the performance of existing climate models is rather …

Downscaling of the global seasonal forecasts of hydrometcenter of Russia for North Eurasia

VN Kryzhov - Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2012 - Springer
Proposed is a method of downscaling of the global ensemble seasonal forecasts of air
temperature computed using the SLAV model of the Hydrometcenter of Russia. The method …

Development of Multisite Spatio-Temporal Downscaling Model for Rainfall Using GCM Multi Model Ensemble

TJ Kim, KY Kim, HH Kwon - KSCE Journal of Civil and …, 2015 - koreascience.kr
Abstract General Circulation Models (GCMs) are the basic tool used for modelling climate.
However, the spatio-temporal discrepancy between GCM and observed value, therefore, the …

Ensemble forecasts: probabilistic seasonal forecasts based on a model ensemble

H Aizenman, MD Grossberg, NY Krakauer, I Gladkova - Climate, 2016 - mdpi.com
Ensembles of general circulation model (GCM) integrations yield predictions for
meteorological conditions in future months. Such predictions have implicit uncertainty …

[PDF][PDF] Сравнение параметрического и непараметрического подходов к вероятностной интерпретации ансамблевых сезонных прогнозов

ВН Крыжов - Гидрометеорологические исследования и …, 2019 - researchgate.net
Проведено исследование успешности вероятностных прогнозов, рассчитанных с
использованием параметрического и непараметрического подходов к вероятностной …

[PDF][PDF] 다중기상모델앙상블을활용한다지점강우시나리오상세화기법개발

김태정, 김기영, 권현한 - 대한토목학회논문집, 2015 - researchgate.net
초 록기후모형으로 가장 널리 사용되는 GCM 의 불확실성 및 시공간적 편의로 인하여 GCM
으로부터 생산된 기상정보를 응용수문분야에서 직접적으로 이용하기 위해서는 상세화 과정이 …