Expectation errors, uncertainty, and economic activity

Y Arslan, A Atabek, T Hulagu… - Oxford Economic …, 2015 - academic.oup.com
In this article we analyse the relationship between uncertainty and economic activity. For this
purpose, we use a firm-level panel data set from Turkey to form proxies for uncertainty by …

Türkiye'de sanayi üretim endeksinin belirleyenleri: ARDL modeli

B Pekçağlayan - İstanbul İktisat Dergisi, 2021 - dergipark.org.tr
Bu çalışmada sürdürülebilir bir büyüme için gerekli olan sanayi üretim endeksinin
belirleyenlerinin incelenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Sanayi sektörünün toplam çıktı içindeki payı …

Expectation errors, uncertainty and economic activity

Y Arslan, A Atabek, T Hülagü… - Uncertainty and Economic …, 2011 - papers.ssrn.com
The aim of this study is to analyze the relationship between uncertainty and economic
activity. For this purpose, we use a confidential firm level panel data set (Business Tendency …

Identifying leading indicators of real activity and inflation for Turkey, 1988-2010: A pseudo out-of-sample forecasting approach

S Altug, E Uluceviz - OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle …, 2014 - oecd-ilibrary.org
This paper develops a set of leading indicators for industrial production growth and changes
in consumer price inflation by accounting for changes in the policy regime that have …

TÜRKİYE'DE SANAYİ ÜRETİM ENDEKSİNİN VAR MODEL İLE ANALİZİ VE TAHMİNLENMESİ

B Pekçağlayan - Anadolu Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler …, 2024 - dergipark.org.tr
Bu çalışmanın amacı, VAR (Vektör Otoregresif) modeli ile 2006: Q1'den 2022: Q2'ye kadar
üçer aylık verileri kullanarak Türkiye'de sanayi üretim endeksini incelemektir. VAR Model; …

The Calculation of Composite Calendar Regressors Including Moving Holidays in Türkiye

MF Tüzen, GM Gökçin, Ö Yiğit - İstatistik Araştırma Dergisi, 2023 - dergipark.org.tr
The calendar effects are divided into working days, trading days, leap years, moving
holidays and fixed holidays. In order to analyze the calendar effects for short term statistics …

Backward recalculation of seasonal series affected by economic crisis: a Model-Based-Link method for the case of Turkish GDP

D Buono, K Alpay - 2010 - mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de
When attempting to deal with the recalculation process, it is hard to answer the question
“Does the recalculated series include economic events and seasonal behaviours in the …

[PDF][PDF] CALENDAR EFFECTS OF SHORT TERM STATISTICS IN TÜRKİYE

MFTGM GÖKÇİN, Ö YİĞİT - cros-legacy.ec.europa.eu
The calendar effects used in the indicators produced within the scope of the official statistics
production process are divided into working days, trading days, leap years, religious …

Determinants of Industrial Production in Turkey: ARDL Model

B PEKÇAĞLAYAN - Istanbul Journal of Economics= İstanbul …, 2021 - search.proquest.com
In this study, it is aimed to examine the determinants of the industrial production index, which
is necessary for a sustainable growth. Even though the share of the industrial sector in the …

[PDF][PDF] RESEARCH NOTES IN ECONOMICS

Ç Yüncüler - academia.edu
Most of the raw economic data/statistics need filtering before making a firm interpretation for
policy analysis, modelling or forecasting. Issues like seasonal fluctuations and calendar …